InspireMD Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

NSPR Stock  USD 1.87  0.01  0.54%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of InspireMD on the next trading day is expected to be 1.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.54. InspireMD Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although InspireMD's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of InspireMD's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of InspireMD fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of InspireMD's share price is approaching 36. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling InspireMD, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 36

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of InspireMD's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of InspireMD and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from InspireMD's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with InspireMD, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting InspireMD's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.19)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.84)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.81)
Wall Street Target Price
4.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.20)
Using InspireMD hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of InspireMD from the perspective of InspireMD response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards InspireMD using InspireMD's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards InspireMD using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of InspireMD's stock price.

InspireMD Short Interest

An investor who is long InspireMD may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about InspireMD and may potentially protect profits, hedge InspireMD with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
2.3478
Short Percent
0.0019
Short Ratio
0.66
Shares Short Prior Month
93 K
50 Day MA
1.9878

InspireMD Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to InspireMD's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in InspireMD. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding InspireMD can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around InspireMD. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of InspireMD's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about InspireMD.

InspireMD Implied Volatility

    
  2.02  
InspireMD's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of InspireMD stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if InspireMD's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that InspireMD stock will not fluctuate a lot when InspireMD's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of InspireMD on the next trading day is expected to be 1.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.54.

InspireMD after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of InspireMD to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in InspireMD Stock, please use our How to Invest in InspireMD guide.As of 01/06/2026, Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 1.89. In addition to that, Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 3.74. As of 01/06/2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 50.6 M, while Net Loss is likely to drop (22.3 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 InspireMD Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast InspireMD's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in InspireMD's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for InspireMD stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current InspireMD's open interest, investors have to compare it to InspireMD's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of InspireMD is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in InspireMD. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

InspireMD Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine InspireMD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for InspireMD using various technical indicators. When you analyze InspireMD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

InspireMD Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the InspireMD's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2009-06-30
Previous Quarter
11.5 M
Current Value
63.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
10.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for InspireMD is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of InspireMD value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

InspireMD Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of InspireMD on the next trading day is expected to be 1.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict InspireMD Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that InspireMD's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

InspireMD Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest InspireMDInspireMD Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

InspireMD Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting InspireMD's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. InspireMD's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 6.27, respectively. We have considered InspireMD's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.87
1.79
Expected Value
6.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of InspireMD stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent InspireMD stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.5374
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0744
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0381
SAESum of the absolute errors4.5359
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of InspireMD. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict InspireMD. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for InspireMD

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as InspireMD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.926.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.476.95
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.104.505.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for InspireMD

For every potential investor in InspireMD, whether a beginner or expert, InspireMD's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. InspireMD Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in InspireMD. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying InspireMD's price trends.

InspireMD Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with InspireMD stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of InspireMD could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing InspireMD by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

InspireMD Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of InspireMD's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of InspireMD's current price.

InspireMD Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how InspireMD stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading InspireMD shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying InspireMD stock market strength indicators, traders can identify InspireMD entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

InspireMD Risk Indicators

The analysis of InspireMD's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in InspireMD's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inspiremd stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with InspireMD

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if InspireMD position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in InspireMD will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with InspireMD Stock

  0.83OM Outset MedicalPairCorr

Moving against InspireMD Stock

  0.89MRLWF Marlowe PlcPairCorr
  0.79XOM Exxon Mobil CorpPairCorr
  0.77CSCO Cisco SystemsPairCorr
  0.76CAT CaterpillarPairCorr
  0.75KO Coca Cola Sell-off TrendPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to InspireMD could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace InspireMD when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back InspireMD - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling InspireMD to buy it.
The correlation of InspireMD is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as InspireMD moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if InspireMD moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for InspireMD can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for InspireMD Stock Analysis

When running InspireMD's price analysis, check to measure InspireMD's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy InspireMD is operating at the current time. Most of InspireMD's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of InspireMD's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move InspireMD's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of InspireMD to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.