Nam Tai Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

NTPIF Stock   4.01  0.12  2.91%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nam Tai Property on the next trading day is expected to be 4.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.73. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Nam Tai's stock prices and determine the direction of Nam Tai Property's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nam Tai's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Nam Tai is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Nam Tai Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nam Tai Property on the next trading day is expected to be 4.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nam Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nam Tai's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nam Tai Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Nam Tai Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nam Tai's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nam Tai's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.19 and 5.83, respectively. We have considered Nam Tai's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.01
4.01
Expected Value
5.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nam Tai pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nam Tai pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.287
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0083
MADMean absolute deviation0.0463
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0113
SAESum of the absolute errors2.73
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Nam Tai Property price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Nam Tai. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Nam Tai

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nam Tai Property. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Nam Tai

For every potential investor in Nam, whether a beginner or expert, Nam Tai's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nam Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nam Tai's price trends.

Nam Tai Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nam Tai pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nam Tai could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nam Tai by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nam Tai Property Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nam Tai's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nam Tai's current price.

Nam Tai Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nam Tai pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nam Tai shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nam Tai pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Nam Tai Property entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nam Tai Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nam Tai's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nam Tai's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nam pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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