Northern Trust Stock Forward View
| NTRS Stock | USD 149.43 1.23 0.82% |
Northern Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Northern Trust's stock price is slightly above 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Northern, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.073 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.1163 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.9752 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.9076 | Wall Street Target Price 154.6072 |
Using Northern Trust hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Northern Trust from the perspective of Northern Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Northern Trust using Northern Trust's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Northern using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Northern Trust's stock price.
Northern Trust Short Interest
An investor who is long Northern Trust may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Northern Trust and may potentially protect profits, hedge Northern Trust with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 125.024 | Short Percent 0.0097 | Short Ratio 1.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 139.3248 |
Northern Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Northern Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 151.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.66.Northern Trust Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Northern Trust's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Northern. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Northern can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Northern Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Northern Trust's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Northern Trust.
Northern Trust Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Northern Trust's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Northern Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Northern Trust's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Northern Trust stock will not fluctuate a lot when Northern Trust's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Northern Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 151.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.66. Northern Trust after-hype prediction price | USD 149.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northern Trust to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Northern contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Northern Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Northern Trust trading at USD 149.43, that is roughly USD 0.0364 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Northern Trust's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Northern Trust options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Northern Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Northern Trust's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Northern Trust's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Northern Trust stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Northern Trust's open interest, investors have to compare it to Northern Trust's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Northern Trust is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Northern. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Northern Trust Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Northern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Northern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Northern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Northern Trust's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1989-03-31 | Previous Quarter 56.7 B | Current Value 61.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 14.7 B |
Northern Trust Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Northern Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 151.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.58, mean absolute percentage error of 4.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Northern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Northern Trust's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Northern Trust Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Northern Trust | Northern Trust Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Northern Trust Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Northern Trust's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Northern Trust's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 149.66 and 152.52, respectively. We have considered Northern Trust's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Northern Trust stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Northern Trust stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5892 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5846 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0117 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 96.6601 |
Predictive Modules for Northern Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Northern Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Northern Trust After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Northern Trust at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Northern Trust or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Northern Trust, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Northern Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Northern Trust's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Northern Trust's historical news coverage. Northern Trust's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 148.00 and 150.86, respectively. We have considered Northern Trust's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Northern Trust is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Northern Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Northern Trust Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Northern Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northern Trust backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Northern Trust, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.43 | 0.26 | 2.25 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
149.43 | 149.43 | 0.00 |
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Northern Trust Hype Timeline
Northern Trust is now traded for 149.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.25. Northern is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 148.96%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Northern Trust is about 17.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 147.18. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Northern Trust was now reported as 64.79. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.27. Northern Trust recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of March 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of December 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Northern Trust to cross-verify your projections.Northern Trust Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Northern Trust's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Northern Trust's future price movements. Getting to know how Northern Trust's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Northern Trust may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TROW | T Rowe Price | 0.22 | 16 per month | 1.43 | (0) | 2.42 | (2.64) | 6.21 | |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital | (0.32) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.26 | (3.64) | 9.07 | |
| CG | Carlyle Group | (1.02) | 7 per month | 2.16 | 0.0003 | 3.24 | (3.04) | 11.01 | |
| CINF | Cincinnati Financial | (2.20) | 11 per month | 1.13 | (0.0004) | 1.69 | (1.50) | 4.67 | |
| MKL | Markel | (0.64) | 2 per month | 0.67 | 0.07 | 1.86 | (1.04) | 7.32 | |
| STT | State Street Corp | 1.12 | 8 per month | 1.67 | 0.10 | 1.85 | (2.12) | 9.12 | |
| USB | US Bancorp | (0.46) | 7 per month | 0.84 | 0.18 | 2.52 | (1.40) | 6.01 | |
| FCNCA | First Citizens BancShares | (71.25) | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.12 | 2.60 | (1.69) | 12.82 | |
| CFG | Citizens Financial Group | (0.31) | 9 per month | 0.92 | 0.17 | 2.80 | (1.80) | 9.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Northern Trust
For every potential investor in Northern, whether a beginner or expert, Northern Trust's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Northern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Northern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Northern Trust's price trends.Northern Trust Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Northern Trust stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Northern Trust could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Trust by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Northern Trust Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Northern Trust stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Northern Trust shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Northern Trust stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Northern Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0153 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.53) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 149.97 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 149.79 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.15) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.23) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.06 |
Northern Trust Risk Indicators
The analysis of Northern Trust's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Northern Trust's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting northern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9593 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9638 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9289 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.06) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Northern Trust
The number of cover stories for Northern Trust depends on current market conditions and Northern Trust's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Northern Trust is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Northern Trust's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Northern Trust Short Properties
Northern Trust's future price predictability will typically decrease when Northern Trust's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Northern Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Northern Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Northern Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 188.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 63.8 B |
Additional Tools for Northern Stock Analysis
When running Northern Trust's price analysis, check to measure Northern Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.