NuGene International Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

NUGN Stock  USD 0.01  0.0001  2.04%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NuGene International on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05. NuGene Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
NuGene International simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for NuGene International are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as NuGene International prices get older.

NuGene International Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of NuGene International on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0008, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000127, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NuGene Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NuGene International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NuGene International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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NuGene International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NuGene International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NuGene International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00005 and 12.54, respectively. We have considered NuGene International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.00005
Downside
0
Expected Value
12.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NuGene International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NuGene International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.6936
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation8.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.104
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0498
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting NuGene International forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent NuGene International observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for NuGene International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NuGene International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0112.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00012.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NuGene International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NuGene International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NuGene International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NuGene International.

Other Forecasting Options for NuGene International

For every potential investor in NuGene, whether a beginner or expert, NuGene International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NuGene Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NuGene. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NuGene International's price trends.

NuGene International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NuGene International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NuGene International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NuGene International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NuGene International Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NuGene International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NuGene International's current price.

NuGene International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NuGene International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NuGene International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NuGene International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify NuGene International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NuGene International Risk Indicators

The analysis of NuGene International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NuGene International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nugene pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with NuGene International

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if NuGene International position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NuGene International will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against NuGene Pink Sheet

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to NuGene International could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace NuGene International when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back NuGene International - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling NuGene International to buy it.
The correlation of NuGene International is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as NuGene International moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if NuGene International moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for NuGene International can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in NuGene Pink Sheet

NuGene International financial ratios help investors to determine whether NuGene Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NuGene with respect to the benefits of owning NuGene International security.