Nuvation Bio Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| NUVB Stock | USD 5.76 0.01 0.17% |
Nuvation Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nuvation Bio stock prices and determine the direction of Nuvation Bio's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nuvation Bio's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the rsi of Nuvation Bio's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.13) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.45) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.55 | Wall Street Target Price 11.8889 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.15) |
Using Nuvation Bio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nuvation Bio from the perspective of Nuvation Bio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nuvation Bio using Nuvation Bio's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nuvation using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nuvation Bio's stock price.
Nuvation Bio Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Nuvation Bio's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Nuvation. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nuvation Bio stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 4.2591 | Short Percent 0.2325 | Short Ratio 7.95 | Shares Short Prior Month 41.7 M | 50 Day MA 7.3104 |
Nuvation Relative Strength Index
Nuvation Bio Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nuvation Bio's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nuvation. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nuvation can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nuvation Bio. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nuvation Bio's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nuvation Bio.
Nuvation Bio Implied Volatility | 2.88 |
Nuvation Bio's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nuvation Bio stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nuvation Bio's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nuvation Bio stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nuvation Bio's options are near their expiration.
Nuvation Bio after-hype prediction price | USD 5.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuvation Bio to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nuvation contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nuvation Bio will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.18% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Nuvation Bio trading at USD 5.76, that is roughly USD 0.0104 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nuvation Bio's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nuvation Bio options at the current volatility level of 2.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Nuvation Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nuvation Bio's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nuvation Bio's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nuvation Bio stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nuvation Bio's open interest, investors have to compare it to Nuvation Bio's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nuvation Bio is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nuvation. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Nuvation Bio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nuvation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nuvation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nuvation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 0.0562 | 0.0562 |
| Check Nuvation Bio Volatility | Backtest Nuvation Bio | Information Ratio |
Nuvation Bio Trading Date Momentum
| On February 16 2026 Nuvation Bio was traded for 5.76 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 6.05 and the lowest listed price was 5.71 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 16, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 0.17% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Nuvation Bio to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Nuvation Bio
For every potential investor in Nuvation, whether a beginner or expert, Nuvation Bio's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nuvation Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nuvation. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nuvation Bio's price trends.Nuvation Bio Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nuvation Bio stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nuvation Bio could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuvation Bio by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nuvation Bio Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nuvation Bio stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nuvation Bio shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nuvation Bio stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nuvation Bio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nuvation Bio Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nuvation Bio's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nuvation Bio's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nuvation stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.48 | |||
| Variance | 56.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 19.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nuvation Bio
The number of cover stories for Nuvation Bio depends on current market conditions and Nuvation Bio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nuvation Bio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nuvation Bio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nuvation Bio Short Properties
Nuvation Bio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nuvation Bio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nuvation Bio often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nuvation Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nuvation Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 268.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 502.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuvation Bio to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Nuvation Stock refer to our How to Trade Nuvation Stock guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nuvation Bio. Anticipated expansion of Nuvation directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Nuvation Bio assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (0.49) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 17.047 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Nuvation Bio requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Nuvation's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Nuvation Bio's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Nuvation Bio's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Nuvation Bio's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nuvation Bio should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Nuvation Bio's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.