New Ulm OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| NUVR Stock | USD 13.50 0.49 3.50% |
New OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of New Ulm's share price is at 51. This indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling New Ulm, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of New Ulm based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using New Ulm hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New Ulm Telecom from the perspective of New Ulm response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of New Ulm Telecom on the next trading day is expected to be 14.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.12. New Ulm after-hype prediction price | USD 13.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
New |
New Ulm Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
New Ulm Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of New Ulm Telecom on the next trading day is expected to be 14.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict New OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that New Ulm's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
New Ulm OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest New Ulm | New Ulm Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
New Ulm Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting New Ulm's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. New Ulm's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.00 and 17.94, respectively. We have considered New Ulm's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of New Ulm otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent New Ulm otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2694 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3244 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0244 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.1158 |
Predictive Modules for New Ulm
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Ulm Telecom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Ulm's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
New Ulm After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of New Ulm at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in New Ulm or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of New Ulm, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
New Ulm Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting New Ulm's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on New Ulm's historical news coverage. New Ulm's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.57 and 16.43, respectively. We have considered New Ulm's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
New Ulm is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of New Ulm Telecom is based on 3 months time horizon.
New Ulm OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as New Ulm is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading New Ulm backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with New Ulm, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.50 | 13.50 | 0.00 |
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New Ulm Hype Timeline
New Ulm Telecom is now traded for 13.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. New is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on New Ulm is about 2.97E7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.50. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. New Ulm Telecom last dividend was issued on the 8th of December 2022. The entity had 3:1 split on the 19th of February 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of New Ulm to cross-verify your projections.New Ulm Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to New Ulm's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict New Ulm's future price movements. Getting to know how New Ulm's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how New Ulm may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPMMF | Space Communication | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CAUUF | Centaur Media Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.56 | |
| SCGY | Scientific Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.62 | |
| OPESF | Otello ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| KNIT | Kinetic Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ELRE | Yinfu Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.08 | |
| IRIDQ | Iridium World Communications | (0.0001) | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TGRVF | Tian Ge Interactive | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MSEZ | Media Sentiment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 5.65 | (4.32) | 103.81 | |
| CKPDY | Cookpad Inc ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.01 |
Other Forecasting Options for New Ulm
For every potential investor in New, whether a beginner or expert, New Ulm's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. New OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in New. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying New Ulm's price trends.New Ulm Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with New Ulm otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of New Ulm could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New Ulm by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
New Ulm Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how New Ulm otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading New Ulm shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying New Ulm otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify New Ulm Telecom entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.5 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.49) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.09 |
New Ulm Risk Indicators
The analysis of New Ulm's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in New Ulm's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting new otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.83 | |||
| Variance | 8.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for New Ulm
The number of cover stories for New Ulm depends on current market conditions and New Ulm's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that New Ulm is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about New Ulm's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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New Ulm Short Properties
New Ulm's future price predictability will typically decrease when New Ulm's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of New Ulm Telecom often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential New Ulm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Ulm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.3 M |
Additional Tools for New OTC Stock Analysis
When running New Ulm's price analysis, check to measure New Ulm's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy New Ulm is operating at the current time. Most of New Ulm's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of New Ulm's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move New Ulm's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of New Ulm to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.