Nuwellis Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

NUWE Stock  USD 2.61  0.14  5.67%   
Nuwellis Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nuwellis stock prices and determine the direction of Nuwellis's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Nuwellis' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Nuwellis' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nuwellis' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nuwellis and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nuwellis' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nuwellis, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nuwellis' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(25.72)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.87)
Wall Street Target Price
11
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Using Nuwellis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nuwellis from the perspective of Nuwellis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Nuwellis Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of Nuwellis on the next trading day is expected to be 2.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.87.

Nuwellis Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Nuwellis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nuwellis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nuwellis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nuwellis. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nuwellis' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nuwellis.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Nuwellis on the next trading day is expected to be 2.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.87.

Nuwellis after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuwellis to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Nuwellis Stock refer to our How to Trade Nuwellis Stock guide.

Nuwellis Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nuwellis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nuwellis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nuwellis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Nuwellis price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Nuwellis Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Nuwellis on the next trading day is expected to be 2.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nuwellis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nuwellis' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nuwellis Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nuwellis  Nuwellis Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Nuwellis Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nuwellis' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nuwellis' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 15.39, respectively. We have considered Nuwellis' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.61
2.66
Expected Value
15.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nuwellis stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nuwellis stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9202
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.424
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1723
SAESum of the absolute errors25.867
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Nuwellis historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Nuwellis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuwellis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nuwellis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.4815.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.234.6317.37
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.0111.0012.21
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-6.43-6.43-6.43
Details

Nuwellis After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nuwellis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nuwellis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nuwellis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nuwellis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nuwellis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nuwellis' historical news coverage. Nuwellis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 15.22, respectively. We have considered Nuwellis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.61
2.48
After-hype Price
15.22
Upside
Nuwellis is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nuwellis is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nuwellis Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nuwellis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nuwellis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nuwellis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.58 
12.74
  0.13 
  0.01 
12 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.61
2.48
4.98 
5,539  
Notes

Nuwellis Hype Timeline

Nuwellis is now traded for 2.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Nuwellis is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.98%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Nuwellis is about 50858.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.62. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.6. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nuwellis recorded a loss per share of 250.62. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of October 2020. The firm had 1:42 split on the 7th of July 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuwellis to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Nuwellis Stock refer to our How to Trade Nuwellis Stock guide.

Nuwellis Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nuwellis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nuwellis' future price movements. Getting to know how Nuwellis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nuwellis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PETVPetVivo Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10) 7.55 (9.77) 32.58 
OCEAOcean Biomedical 0.00 0 per month 29.08  0.21  160.00 (60.00) 473.33 
SABSSAB Biotherapeutics(0.03)9 per month 3.31  0.09  6.13 (4.94) 22.52 
BACKIMAC Holdings 0.00 0 per month 13.79  0.1  37.80 (25.25) 271.43 
BCTXWBriaCell Therapeutics Corp 0.0005 8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 14.21 (24.35) 61.85 
VINCVincerx Pharma Common 0.00 1 per month 13.09  0.04  10.00 (3.77) 127.90 
PKBOIgnyte Acquisition Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IVFINVO Fertility 0.04 10 per month 0.00 (0.01) 12.22 (16.50) 218.36 
NUVOHoldco Nuvo Group 0.00 2 per month 21.20  0.14  66.67 (70.00) 544.44 
ACONAclarion 0.24 7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 10.31 (11.65) 83.58 

Other Forecasting Options for Nuwellis

For every potential investor in Nuwellis, whether a beginner or expert, Nuwellis' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nuwellis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nuwellis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nuwellis' price trends.

Nuwellis Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nuwellis stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nuwellis could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nuwellis by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nuwellis Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nuwellis stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nuwellis shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nuwellis stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nuwellis entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nuwellis Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nuwellis' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nuwellis' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nuwellis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nuwellis

The number of cover stories for Nuwellis depends on current market conditions and Nuwellis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nuwellis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nuwellis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nuwellis Short Properties

Nuwellis' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nuwellis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nuwellis often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nuwellis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nuwellis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.6 K
Cash And Short Term Investments5.1 M
When determining whether Nuwellis is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nuwellis' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nuwellis' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nuwellis Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nuwellis to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Nuwellis Stock refer to our How to Trade Nuwellis Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Nuwellis diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nuwellis. Anticipated expansion of Nuwellis directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Nuwellis data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
(250.62)
Revenue Per Share
27.778
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
Return On Assets
(0.93)
Investors evaluate Nuwellis using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Nuwellis' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Nuwellis' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Nuwellis' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Nuwellis should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Nuwellis' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.