North West Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| NWC Stock | CAD 54.73 0.04 0.07% |
North Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of North West's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using North West hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of North West from the perspective of North West response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of North West on the next trading day is expected to be 55.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.43. North West after-hype prediction price | CAD 54.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
North |
North West Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine North price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for North using various technical indicators. When you analyze North charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
North West Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of North West on the next trading day is expected to be 55.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict North Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that North West's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
North West Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest North West | North West Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
North West Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting North West's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. North West's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.94 and 56.52, respectively. We have considered North West's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of North West stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent North West stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.3837 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5153 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0104 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.4331 |
Predictive Modules for North West
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as North West. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.North West After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of North West at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in North West or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of North West, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
North West Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting North West's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on North West's historical news coverage. North West's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.31 and 55.89, respectively. We have considered North West's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
North West is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of North West is based on 3 months time horizon.
North West Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as North West is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading North West backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with North West, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
54.73 | 54.60 | 0.24 |
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North West Hype Timeline
North West is now traded for 54.73on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. North is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 54.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on North West is about 10554.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 54.73. About 35.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of North West was now reported as 16.73. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.95. North West last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The entity had 3:1 split on the 18th of September 2006. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of North West to cross-verify your projections.North West Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to North West's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict North West's future price movements. Getting to know how North West's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how North West may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LAS-A | Lassonde Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | (0.02) | 2.28 | (2.35) | 8.66 | |
| JWEL | Jamieson Wellness | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.73 | 0.05 | 2.56 | (1.36) | 4.77 | |
| MFI | Maple Leaf Foods | 0.16 | 5 per month | 0.77 | 0.18 | 2.43 | (1.68) | 5.97 | |
| PESO | Pesorama | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.22 | 0.09 | 7.14 | (6.67) | 27.99 | |
| DTOL | D2L Inc | (0.13) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 2.21 | (3.93) | 12.63 | |
| RSI | Rogers Sugar | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.02 | 1.44 | (1.33) | 7.28 | |
| CSW-A | Corby Spirit and | 0.13 | 4 per month | 1.20 | (0.01) | 1.65 | (2.21) | 5.77 | |
| HLF | High Liner Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.27 | 1.90 | (0.96) | 5.06 | |
| ADW-A | Andrew Peller Limited | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.98 | 0.0008 | 2.18 | (1.77) | 5.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for North West
For every potential investor in North, whether a beginner or expert, North West's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. North Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in North. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying North West's price trends.North West Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with North West stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of North West could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing North West by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
North West Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how North West stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading North West shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying North West stock market strength indicators, traders can identify North West entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
North West Risk Indicators
The analysis of North West's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in North West's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting north stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.91 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Variance | 1.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for North West
The number of cover stories for North West depends on current market conditions and North West's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that North West is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about North West's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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North West Short Properties
North West's future price predictability will typically decrease when North West's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of North West often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential North West's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. North West's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67.4 M |
Other Information on Investing in North Stock
North West financial ratios help investors to determine whether North Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in North with respect to the benefits of owning North West security.