Newell Rubbermaid Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| NWL Stock | USD 4.34 0.09 2.12% |
Newell Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Newell Rubbermaid's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Newell Rubbermaid's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Newell Rubbermaid fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Newell Rubbermaid's stock price is about 64. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Newell, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.015 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2685 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5759 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.5799 | Wall Street Target Price 5.0625 |
Using Newell Rubbermaid hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newell Rubbermaid from the perspective of Newell Rubbermaid response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Newell Rubbermaid using Newell Rubbermaid's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Newell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Newell Rubbermaid's stock price.
Newell Rubbermaid Short Interest
An investor who is long Newell Rubbermaid may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Newell Rubbermaid and may potentially protect profits, hedge Newell Rubbermaid with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.9079 | Short Percent 0.1544 | Short Ratio 7.13 | Shares Short Prior Month 39 M | 50 Day MA 3.8632 |
Newell Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newell Rubbermaid on the next trading day is expected to be 4.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.92.Newell Rubbermaid Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Newell Rubbermaid's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Newell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Newell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Newell Rubbermaid. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Newell Rubbermaid's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Newell Rubbermaid.
Newell Rubbermaid Implied Volatility | 0.99 |
Newell Rubbermaid's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Newell Rubbermaid stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Newell Rubbermaid's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Newell Rubbermaid stock will not fluctuate a lot when Newell Rubbermaid's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newell Rubbermaid on the next trading day is expected to be 4.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.92. Newell Rubbermaid after-hype prediction price | USD 4.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newell Rubbermaid to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Newell contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Newell Rubbermaid will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0619% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Newell Rubbermaid trading at USD 4.34, that is roughly USD 0.002685 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Newell Rubbermaid's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Newell Rubbermaid options at the current volatility level of 0.99%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Newell Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Newell Rubbermaid's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Newell Rubbermaid's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Newell Rubbermaid stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Newell Rubbermaid's open interest, investors have to compare it to Newell Rubbermaid's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Newell Rubbermaid is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Newell. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Newell Rubbermaid Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Newell Rubbermaid Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Newell Rubbermaid on the next trading day is expected to be 4.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Newell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Newell Rubbermaid's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Newell Rubbermaid Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Newell Rubbermaid | Newell Rubbermaid Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Newell Rubbermaid Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Newell Rubbermaid's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Newell Rubbermaid's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.22 and 6.46, respectively. We have considered Newell Rubbermaid's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Newell Rubbermaid stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Newell Rubbermaid stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.2433 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0197 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0653 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0175 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.92 |
Predictive Modules for Newell Rubbermaid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newell Rubbermaid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newell Rubbermaid's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Newell Rubbermaid After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newell Rubbermaid at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newell Rubbermaid or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Newell Rubbermaid, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newell Rubbermaid Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newell Rubbermaid's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newell Rubbermaid's historical news coverage. Newell Rubbermaid's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.11 and 6.35, respectively. We have considered Newell Rubbermaid's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newell Rubbermaid is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newell Rubbermaid is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newell Rubbermaid Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newell Rubbermaid is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newell Rubbermaid backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newell Rubbermaid, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.54 | 2.12 | 0.02 | 0.29 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.34 | 4.23 | 0.47 |
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Newell Rubbermaid Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Newell Rubbermaid is traded for 4.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.29. Newell is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.54%. The volatility of related hype on Newell Rubbermaid is about 400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.05. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.66. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Newell Rubbermaid has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.06. The firm last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. Newell Rubbermaid had 2:1 split on the 2nd of September 1994. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newell Rubbermaid to cross-verify your projections.Newell Rubbermaid Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newell Rubbermaid's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newell Rubbermaid's future price movements. Getting to know how Newell Rubbermaid's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newell Rubbermaid may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPB | Spectrum Brands Holdings | 0.07 | 9 per month | 1.75 | 0.09 | 3.51 | (2.88) | 13.62 | |
| COUR | Coursera | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.66 | (4.25) | 14.34 | |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Incorporated | (1.67) | 10 per month | 1.40 | 0.02 | 2.74 | (2.41) | 7.85 | |
| PXED | Phoenix Education Partners | (3.79) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.27 | (6.69) | 19.88 | |
| AFYA | Afya | (0.09) | 10 per month | 1.67 | 0.01 | 2.30 | (2.99) | 6.95 | |
| VITL | Vital Farms | (0.24) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.50 | (5.75) | 22.88 | |
| DAO | Youdao Inc | (0.30) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.96 | (5.06) | 16.06 | |
| UVV | Universal | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.09 | 1.65 | (1.45) | 8.15 | |
| DOLE | Dole PLC | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.16 | 0.21 | 2.35 | (2.32) | 8.95 | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | 0.55 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.12 | (4.94) | 12.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Newell Rubbermaid
For every potential investor in Newell, whether a beginner or expert, Newell Rubbermaid's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Newell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Newell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Newell Rubbermaid's price trends.Newell Rubbermaid Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Newell Rubbermaid stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Newell Rubbermaid could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newell Rubbermaid by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Newell Rubbermaid Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Newell Rubbermaid stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Newell Rubbermaid shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Newell Rubbermaid stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Newell Rubbermaid entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Newell Rubbermaid Risk Indicators
The analysis of Newell Rubbermaid's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Newell Rubbermaid's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting newell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.17 | |||
| Variance | 17.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Newell Rubbermaid
The number of cover stories for Newell Rubbermaid depends on current market conditions and Newell Rubbermaid's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newell Rubbermaid is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newell Rubbermaid's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Newell Rubbermaid Short Properties
Newell Rubbermaid's future price predictability will typically decrease when Newell Rubbermaid's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Newell Rubbermaid often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Newell Rubbermaid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newell Rubbermaid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 415.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 198 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Newell Rubbermaid to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Newell Stock please use our How to buy in Newell Stock guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Housewares & Specialties space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newell Rubbermaid. Anticipated expansion of Newell directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Newell Rubbermaid assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.015 | Dividend Share 0.28 | Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Investors evaluate Newell Rubbermaid using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Newell Rubbermaid's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Newell Rubbermaid's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Newell Rubbermaid's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Newell Rubbermaid should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Newell Rubbermaid's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.