National Express Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

NXPGF Stock  USD 0.31  0.01  3.13%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of National Express Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.27. National Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of National Express' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of National Express' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of National Express' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of National Express and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from National Express' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National Express Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using National Express hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Express Group from the perspective of National Express response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of National Express Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.27.

National Express after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of National Express to cross-verify your projections.

National Express Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for National Express is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

National Express Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of National Express Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0003, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict National Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that National Express' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

National Express Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest National ExpressNational Express Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

National Express Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting National Express' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. National Express' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.30, respectively. We have considered National Express' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.31
0.31
Expected Value
4.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of National Express pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent National Express pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.3258
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0025
MADMean absolute deviation0.0046
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0151
SAESum of the absolute errors0.27
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of National Express Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of National Express. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for National Express

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as National Express. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.314.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.284.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as National Express. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against National Express' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, National Express' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in National Express.

Other Forecasting Options for National Express

For every potential investor in National, whether a beginner or expert, National Express' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. National Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in National. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying National Express' price trends.

National Express Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with National Express pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of National Express could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Express by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

National Express Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of National Express' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of National Express' current price.

National Express Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how National Express pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading National Express shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying National Express pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify National Express Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

National Express Risk Indicators

The analysis of National Express' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in National Express' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting national pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in National Pink Sheet

National Express financial ratios help investors to determine whether National Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in National with respect to the benefits of owning National Express security.