Nayax Stock Forward View
| NYAX Stock | USD 55.99 0.13 0.23% |
Nayax Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength indicator of Nayax's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nayax, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.842 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3428 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8065 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9669 | Wall Street Target Price 53.625 |
Using Nayax hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nayax from the perspective of Nayax response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Nayax Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nayax on the next trading day is expected to be 51.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.26.Nayax Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nayax's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nayax. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nayax can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nayax. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nayax's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nayax.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nayax on the next trading day is expected to be 51.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.26. Nayax after-hype prediction price | USD 55.43 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nayax to cross-verify your projections. Nayax Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nayax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nayax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nayax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Nayax's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 172.3 M | Current Value 257.9 M | Quarterly Volatility 63.2 M |
Nayax Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nayax on the next trading day is expected to be 51.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.26.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nayax Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nayax's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nayax Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Nayax | Nayax Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Nayax Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nayax's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nayax's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.75 and 53.67, respectively. We have considered Nayax's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nayax stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nayax stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3807 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8896 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54.2627 |
Predictive Modules for Nayax
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nayax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nayax After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nayax at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nayax or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nayax, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nayax Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nayax's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nayax's historical news coverage. Nayax's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.83 and 58.03, respectively. We have considered Nayax's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nayax is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nayax is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nayax Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nayax is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nayax backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nayax, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.60 | 2.46 | 0.70 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
55.99 | 55.43 | 1.00 |
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Nayax Hype Timeline
Nayax is now traded for 55.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.7, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Nayax is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 55.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.6%. The volatility of related hype on Nayax is about 20500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.98. About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Nayax had 1:10 split on the 12th of September 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nayax to cross-verify your projections.Nayax Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nayax's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nayax's future price movements. Getting to know how Nayax's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nayax may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | 0.08 | 0.93 | (1.09) | 12.28 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.15 | 0.04 | 0.57 | (0.49) | 3.30 | |
| ORMP | Oramed Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.19 | 6.98 | (3.49) | 17.67 | |
| GSFP | Goldman Sachs | 0.13 | 4 per month | 0.33 | 0.20 | 1.27 | (1.10) | 3.10 | |
| VTARX | Virtus Dfa 2040 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.86 | (0.83) | 17.94 | |
| MCTA | Charming Medical Limited | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 6.97 | (2.09) | 60.38 | |
| GBDC | Golub Capital BDC | 0.03 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.37 | (1.82) | 4.99 | |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.73 | (1.93) | 4.38 | |
| BCSF | Bain Capital Specialty | (0.34) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.93 | (2.13) | 6.32 | |
| BGAFX | Baron Global Advantage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.0005 | 1.75 | (2.41) | 12.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Nayax
For every potential investor in Nayax, whether a beginner or expert, Nayax's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nayax Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nayax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nayax's price trends.Nayax Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nayax stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nayax could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nayax by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nayax Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nayax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nayax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nayax stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nayax entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nayax Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nayax's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nayax's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nayax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.55 | |||
| Variance | 6.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.63 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Nayax
The number of cover stories for Nayax depends on current market conditions and Nayax's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nayax is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nayax's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Nayax Short Properties
Nayax's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nayax's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nayax often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nayax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nayax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 92.5 M |
Additional Tools for Nayax Stock Analysis
When running Nayax's price analysis, check to measure Nayax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nayax is operating at the current time. Most of Nayax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nayax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nayax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nayax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.