Nayax Stock Forward View

NYAX Stock  USD 55.99  0.13  0.23%   
Nayax Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength indicator of Nayax's share price is at 58. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nayax, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nayax's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nayax, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nayax's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.842
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3428
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.8065
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.9669
Wall Street Target Price
53.625
Using Nayax hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nayax from the perspective of Nayax response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Nayax Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nayax on the next trading day is expected to be 51.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.26.

Nayax Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Nayax's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nayax. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nayax can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nayax. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nayax's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nayax.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nayax on the next trading day is expected to be 51.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.26.

Nayax after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 55.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nayax to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Nayax Stock please use our How to Invest in Nayax guide.

Nayax Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nayax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nayax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nayax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Nayax's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-03-31
Previous Quarter
172.3 M
Current Value
257.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
63.2 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Nayax is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Nayax value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Nayax Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Nayax on the next trading day is expected to be 51.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.89, mean absolute percentage error of 1.31, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nayax Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nayax's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nayax Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nayax  Nayax Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Nayax Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nayax's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nayax's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 48.75 and 53.67, respectively. We have considered Nayax's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
55.99
51.21
Expected Value
53.67
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nayax stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nayax stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.3807
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8896
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors54.2627
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Nayax. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Nayax. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Nayax

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nayax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.8355.4358.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
45.7748.3761.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
49.8756.1362.39
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
48.8053.6259.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nayax. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nayax's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nayax's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nayax.

Nayax After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nayax at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nayax or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nayax, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nayax Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nayax's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nayax's historical news coverage. Nayax's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.83 and 58.03, respectively. We have considered Nayax's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
55.99
55.43
After-hype Price
58.03
Upside
Nayax is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nayax is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nayax Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nayax is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nayax backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nayax, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.60 
2.46
  0.70 
  0.01 
7 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.99
55.43
1.00 
210.26  
Notes

Nayax Hype Timeline

Nayax is now traded for 55.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.7, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Nayax is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 55.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.6%. The volatility of related hype on Nayax is about 20500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.98. About 61.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Nayax had 1:10 split on the 12th of September 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nayax to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Nayax Stock please use our How to Invest in Nayax guide.

Nayax Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nayax's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nayax's future price movements. Getting to know how Nayax's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nayax may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MSTSXMorningstar Unconstrained Allocation 0.00 0 per month 0.44  0.08  0.93 (1.09) 12.28 
RRTLXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.15  0.04  0.57 (0.49) 3.30 
ORMPOramed Pharmaceuticals 0.00 9 per month 1.90  0.19  6.98 (3.49) 17.67 
GSFPGoldman Sachs 0.13 4 per month 0.33  0.20  1.27 (1.10) 3.10 
VTARXVirtus Dfa 2040 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.86 (0.83) 17.94 
MCTACharming Medical Limited 0.00 9 per month 0.00  0.16  6.97 (2.09) 60.38 
GBDCGolub Capital BDC 0.03 11 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.37 (1.82) 4.99 
GSBDGoldman Sachs BDC 0.06 7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.73 (1.93) 4.38 
BCSFBain Capital Specialty(0.34)10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.93 (2.13) 6.32 
BGAFXBaron Global Advantage 0.00 0 per month 1.06  0.0005  1.75 (2.41) 12.37 

Other Forecasting Options for Nayax

For every potential investor in Nayax, whether a beginner or expert, Nayax's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nayax Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nayax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nayax's price trends.

Nayax Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nayax stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nayax could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nayax by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nayax Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nayax stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nayax shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nayax stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nayax entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nayax Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nayax's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nayax's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nayax stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Nayax

The number of cover stories for Nayax depends on current market conditions and Nayax's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nayax is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nayax's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Nayax Short Properties

Nayax's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nayax's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nayax often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nayax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nayax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments92.5 M

Additional Tools for Nayax Stock Analysis

When running Nayax's price analysis, check to measure Nayax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nayax is operating at the current time. Most of Nayax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nayax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nayax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nayax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.