Obducat AB Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| OBD Stock | EUR 0.01 0 60.00% |
Obducat Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Obducat AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Obducat AB's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.614 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.68) |
Using Obducat AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Obducat AB from the perspective of Obducat AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Obducat AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14. Obducat AB after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.005249 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Obducat |
Obducat AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Obducat price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Obducat using various technical indicators. When you analyze Obducat charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Obducat AB Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Obducat AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000011, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Obducat Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Obducat AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Obducat AB Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Obducat AB | Obducat AB Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Obducat AB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Obducat AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Obducat AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00008 and 125.08, respectively. We have considered Obducat AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Obducat AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Obducat AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.6597 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0022 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.4226 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1366 |
Predictive Modules for Obducat AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Obducat AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Obducat AB After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Obducat AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Obducat AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Obducat AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Obducat AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Obducat AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Obducat AB's historical news coverage. Obducat AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.26, respectively. We have considered Obducat AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Obducat AB is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Obducat AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Obducat AB Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Obducat AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Obducat AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Obducat AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
19.08 | 125.08 | 0.00 | 1.81 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.01 | 0.01 | 4.98 |
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Obducat AB Hype Timeline
Obducat AB is now traded for 0.01on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.81. Obducat is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.005249 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 4.98%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 19.08%. The volatility of related hype on Obducat AB is about 131663.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -1.8. Obducat AB has accumulated about 43.24 K in cash with 15.59 M of positive cash flow from operations. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Obducat AB to cross-verify your projections.Obducat AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Obducat AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Obducat AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Obducat AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Obducat AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RUZ | Universal Entertainment | 0.06 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.21 | (5.33) | 15.33 | |
| XY81 | BW OFFSHORE LTD | 0.03 | 4 per month | 1.48 | 0.16 | 4.33 | (2.98) | 16.29 | |
| PCHP | SERI INDUSTRIAL EO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.87 | (4.55) | 27.80 | |
| CUD | Canadian Utilities Limited | (0.22) | 5 per month | 0.52 | 0.11 | 1.60 | (1.25) | 7.19 | |
| 63T | Tencent Music Entertainment | (0.40) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.08 | (3.47) | 10.22 | |
| SZL | SOLSTAD OFFSHORE NK | (0.13) | 1 per month | 2.65 | 0.09 | 3.51 | (2.82) | 18.88 | |
| P4Q | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.06 | 7 per month | 3.20 | 0.10 | 4.45 | (3.40) | 16.53 | |
| 2H4 | Hollywood Bowl Group | (0.16) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.99 | (3.83) | 11.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for Obducat AB
For every potential investor in Obducat, whether a beginner or expert, Obducat AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Obducat Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Obducat. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Obducat AB's price trends.Obducat AB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Obducat AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Obducat AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Obducat AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Obducat AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Obducat AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Obducat AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Obducat AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Obducat AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Obducat AB Risk Indicators
The analysis of Obducat AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Obducat AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting obducat stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 165.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 33.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 415.96 | |||
| Variance | 173021.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1699.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1147.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (295.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Obducat AB
The number of cover stories for Obducat AB depends on current market conditions and Obducat AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Obducat AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Obducat AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Obducat Stock
Obducat AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Obducat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Obducat with respect to the benefits of owning Obducat AB security.