ODP Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ODPDelisted Stock | USD 28.00 0.00 0.00% |
ODP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of ODP Corp's share price is at 57. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ODP Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ODP Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ODP Corp from the perspective of ODP Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ODP Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.77. ODP Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 28.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ODP |
ODP Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ODP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ODP using various technical indicators. When you analyze ODP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ODP Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ODP Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 27.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ODP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ODP Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ODP Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ODP Corp | ODP Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ODP Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ODP Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9112 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.029 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.001 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.7688 |
Predictive Modules for ODP Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ODP Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ODP Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ODP Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ODP Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ODP Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ODP Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ODP Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ODP Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ODP Corp's historical news coverage. ODP Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.89 and 28.11, respectively. We have considered ODP Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ODP Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ODP Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
ODP Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ODP Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ODP Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ODP Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.00 | 28.00 | 0.00 |
|
ODP Corp Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January ODP Corp is traded for 28.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ODP is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on ODP Corp is about 2200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.00. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.02. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. ODP Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2020. The firm had 1:10 split on the 1st of July 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.ODP Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ODP Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ODP Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how ODP Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ODP Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HEPS | D MARKET Electronic Services | (0.01) | 9 per month | 4.79 | 0.03 | 3.23 | (4.94) | 61.70 | |
| LQDT | Liquidity Services | 0.04 | 3 per month | 1.50 | 0.15 | 3.68 | (2.64) | 16.86 | |
| WOOF | Pet Acquisition LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.38 | (5.07) | 20.36 | |
| BBW | Build A Bear Workshop | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.90 | 0.06 | 4.68 | (4.37) | 25.04 | |
| ACEL | Accel Entertainment | 0.02 | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.04 | 2.73 | (1.96) | 7.30 | |
| SMP | Standard Motor Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.07 | (2.18) | 7.22 | |
| OLPX | Olaplex Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.45 | 0.13 | 7.21 | (6.31) | 27.71 | |
| ECX | ECARX Holdings Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.25 | (10.48) | 26.42 | |
| LUXE | LuxExperience BV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.26 | (4.06) | 10.95 | |
| CWH | Camping World Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.54 | (6.47) | 25.27 |
ODP Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ODP Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ODP Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ODP Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ODP Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ODP Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ODP Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ODP Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ODP Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
ODP Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of ODP Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ODP Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting odp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.071 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.1072 | |||
| Variance | 0.0115 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0171 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.01) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ODP Corp
The number of cover stories for ODP Corp depends on current market conditions and ODP Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ODP Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ODP Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
ODP Corp Short Properties
ODP Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when ODP Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ODP Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ODP Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ODP Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 166 M |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Other Consideration for investing in ODP Stock
If you are still planning to invest in ODP Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ODP Corp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| Portfolio Analyzer Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine | |
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets |