Build A Bear Workshop Stock Price Prediction
| BBW Stock | USD 39.10 0.67 1.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.123 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.785 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.94 | Wall Street Target Price 54.3333 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.6533 |
Using Build A hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Build A Bear Workshop from the perspective of Build A response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Build A using Build A's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Build using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Build A's stock price.
Build A Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Build A's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Build A Bear Workshop stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Build A's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Build A stock will not fluctuate a lot when Build A's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Build A to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Build because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Build A after-hype prediction price | USD 39.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Build contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Build A Bear Workshop will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Build A trading at USD 39.1, that is roughly USD 0.0174 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Build A's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Build A Bear Workshop options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Build A After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Build A at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Build A or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Build A, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Build A Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Build A's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Build A's historical news coverage. Build A's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.07 and 43.41, respectively. We have considered Build A's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Build A is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Build A Bear is based on 3 months time horizon.
Build A Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Build A is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Build A backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Build A, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 4.17 | 0.16 | 0.67 | 9 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.10 | 39.24 | 0.36 |
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Build A Hype Timeline
On the 18th of January 2025 Build A Bear is traded for 39.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.67. Build is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 39.24 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Build A is about 105.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.77. The company reported the last year's revenue of 486.11 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 52.8 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 264.19 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Build A Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Build A Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Build A's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Build A's future price movements. Getting to know how Build A's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Build A may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Build A Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Build price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Build using various technical indicators. When you analyze Build charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Build A Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Build A stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Build A Bear Workshop, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Build A based on analysis of Build A hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Build A's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Build A's related companies. | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 | 2025 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 12.43 | 12.97 | 6.43 | 7.02 | PTB Ratio | 0.69 | 2.14 | 2.51 | 1.3 |
Story Coverage note for Build A
The number of cover stories for Build A depends on current market conditions and Build A's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Build A is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Build A's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Build A Short Properties
Build A's future price predictability will typically decrease when Build A's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Build A Bear Workshop often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Build A's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Build A's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 44.3 M |
Additional Tools for Build Stock Analysis
When running Build A's price analysis, check to measure Build A's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Build A is operating at the current time. Most of Build A's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Build A's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Build A's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Build A to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.