Orogen Royalties Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OGNRF Stock | USD 1.03 0.07 7.29% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orogen Royalties on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.42. Orogen Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Orogen Royalties' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Orogen Royalties Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Orogen Royalties on the next trading day is expected to be 1.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Orogen Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Orogen Royalties' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Orogen Royalties Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Orogen Royalties Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Orogen Royalties' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Orogen Royalties' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.19, respectively. We have considered Orogen Royalties' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Orogen Royalties pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Orogen Royalties pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.3514 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 7.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0237 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0222 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.42 |
Predictive Modules for Orogen Royalties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orogen Royalties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Orogen Royalties
For every potential investor in Orogen, whether a beginner or expert, Orogen Royalties' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Orogen Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Orogen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Orogen Royalties' price trends.View Orogen Royalties Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Orogen Royalties Technical and Predictive Analytics
The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Orogen Royalties' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Orogen Royalties' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Orogen Royalties Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Orogen Royalties pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Orogen Royalties shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Orogen Royalties pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Orogen Royalties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Orogen Royalties Risk Indicators
The analysis of Orogen Royalties' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Orogen Royalties' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting orogen pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.16 | |||
| Variance | 9.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Orogen Pink Sheet
Orogen Royalties financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orogen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orogen with respect to the benefits of owning Orogen Royalties security.