ONEOK Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| OKE Stock | USD 75.32 3.87 4.89% |
ONEOK Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ONEOK stock prices and determine the direction of ONEOK Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of ONEOK's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of relative strength index of ONEOK's share price is at 55. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ONEOK, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.262 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5557 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.3866 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.8298 | Wall Street Target Price 87.5 |
Using ONEOK hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ONEOK Inc from the perspective of ONEOK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ONEOK using ONEOK's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ONEOK using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ONEOK's stock price.
ONEOK Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ONEOK's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ONEOK. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ONEOK stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 76.2146 | Short Percent 0.0415 | Short Ratio 6.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 19.8 M | 50 Day MA 73.7398 |
ONEOK Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ONEOK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 76.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.64.ONEOK Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ONEOK's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ONEOK. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ONEOK can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ONEOK Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ONEOK's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ONEOK.
ONEOK Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
ONEOK's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ONEOK Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ONEOK's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ONEOK stock will not fluctuate a lot when ONEOK's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ONEOK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 76.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.64. ONEOK after-hype prediction price | USD 75.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ONEOK to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ONEOK contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ONEOK Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With ONEOK trading at USD 75.32, that is roughly USD 0.0202 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ONEOK's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ONEOK Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 ONEOK Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ONEOK's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ONEOK's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ONEOK stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ONEOK's open interest, investors have to compare it to ONEOK's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ONEOK is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ONEOK. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ONEOK Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ONEOK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ONEOK using various technical indicators. When you analyze ONEOK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ONEOK Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ONEOK Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 76.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45, mean absolute percentage error of 3.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ONEOK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ONEOK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ONEOK Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ONEOK | ONEOK Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ONEOK Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ONEOK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ONEOK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 74.80 and 78.09, respectively. We have considered ONEOK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ONEOK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ONEOK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.3505 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4531 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.02 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 88.637 |
Predictive Modules for ONEOK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ONEOK Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ONEOK After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ONEOK at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ONEOK or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ONEOK, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ONEOK Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ONEOK's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ONEOK's historical news coverage. ONEOK's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.64 and 77.00, respectively. We have considered ONEOK's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ONEOK is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ONEOK Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
ONEOK Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ONEOK is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ONEOK backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ONEOK, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.64 | 0.13 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
75.32 | 75.32 | 0.00 |
|
ONEOK Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February ONEOK Inc is traded for 75.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. ONEOK is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on ONEOK is about 4217.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 75.33. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of ONEOK was now reported as 35.06. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.63. ONEOK Inc recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.48. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. The firm had 11422:10000 split on the 3rd of February 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ONEOK to cross-verify your projections.ONEOK Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ONEOK's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ONEOK's future price movements. Getting to know how ONEOK's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ONEOK may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | 0.46 | 10 per month | 0.72 | 0.08 | 2.22 | (1.43) | 3.94 | |
| FANG | Diamondback Energy | (1.36) | 10 per month | 1.65 | 0.08 | 3.34 | (3.24) | 7.95 | |
| LNG | Cheniere Energy | (4.25) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.95 | (2.08) | 4.88 | |
| TRGP | Targa Resources | 4.23 | 10 per month | 1.14 | 0.22 | 3.12 | (2.76) | 8.49 | |
| MPLX | MPLX LP | (1.36) | 8 per month | 0.89 | 0.11 | 1.73 | (1.73) | 4.74 | |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum | 0.31 | 7 per month | 1.49 | 0.04 | 3.01 | (2.59) | 8.06 | |
| IMO | Imperial Oil | 0.11 | 8 per month | 1.80 | 0.08 | 2.96 | (3.32) | 8.06 | |
| TRP | TC Energy Corp | 1.06 | 7 per month | 0.70 | 0.15 | 2.24 | (1.30) | 5.93 | |
| SU | Suncor Energy | 1.15 | 12 per month | 0.73 | 0.29 | 2.77 | (1.62) | 7.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for ONEOK
For every potential investor in ONEOK, whether a beginner or expert, ONEOK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ONEOK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ONEOK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ONEOK's price trends.ONEOK Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ONEOK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ONEOK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ONEOK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ONEOK Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ONEOK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ONEOK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ONEOK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ONEOK Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 75.32 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 75.32 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.94) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.87) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.94 |
ONEOK Risk Indicators
The analysis of ONEOK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ONEOK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oneok stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.84 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ONEOK
The number of cover stories for ONEOK depends on current market conditions and ONEOK's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ONEOK is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ONEOK's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
ONEOK Short Properties
ONEOK's future price predictability will typically decrease when ONEOK's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ONEOK Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ONEOK's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ONEOK's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 586.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 733 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ONEOK to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Will Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation sector continue expanding? Could ONEOK diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ONEOK. Anticipated expansion of ONEOK directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every ONEOK data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.262 | Dividend Share 4.12 | Earnings Share 5.48 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.719 |
Investors evaluate ONEOK Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating ONEOK's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause ONEOK's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between ONEOK's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding ONEOK should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, ONEOK's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.