Oklo Stock Forward View

OKLO Stock   73.62  6.00  7.54%   
Oklo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Oklo's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Oklo's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Oklo fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Oklo's share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Oklo, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 41

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Oklo's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oklo Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Oklo's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.297
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.13)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.62)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.65)
Wall Street Target Price
116.7741
Using Oklo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oklo Inc from the perspective of Oklo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Oklo using Oklo's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Oklo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Oklo's stock price.

Oklo Short Interest

An investor who is long Oklo may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Oklo and may potentially protect profits, hedge Oklo with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
80.7555
Short Percent
0.1101
Short Ratio
1.47
Shares Short Prior Month
20.7 M
50 Day MA
89.9722

Oklo Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oklo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 58.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 402.30.

Oklo Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Oklo's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Oklo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Oklo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Oklo Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Oklo's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Oklo.

Oklo Implied Volatility

    
  0.92  
Oklo's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oklo Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oklo's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oklo stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oklo's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oklo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 58.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 402.30.

Oklo after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 73.62  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oklo to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Oklo contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Oklo Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0575% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Oklo trading at USD 73.62, that is roughly USD 0.0423 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Oklo's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Oklo Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.92%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Oklo Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Oklo's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Oklo's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Oklo stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Oklo's open interest, investors have to compare it to Oklo's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Oklo is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Oklo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Oklo Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oklo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oklo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oklo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Oklo Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Oklo's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-12-31
Previous Quarter
226.8 M
Current Value
410 M
Quarterly Volatility
101.7 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Oklo is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Oklo Inc value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Oklo Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oklo Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 58.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.49, mean absolute percentage error of 59.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 402.30.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oklo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oklo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oklo Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Oklo  Oklo Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Oklo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oklo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oklo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 52.67 and 65.25, respectively. We have considered Oklo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.62
58.96
Expected Value
65.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oklo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oklo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.0382
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.4887
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0708
SAESum of the absolute errors402.2973
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Oklo Inc. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Oklo. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Oklo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oklo Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.2973.6279.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
65.0971.4277.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
69.4788.47107.47
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
106.26116.77129.62
Details

Oklo After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Oklo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oklo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oklo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Oklo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Oklo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oklo's historical news coverage. Oklo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.29 and 79.95, respectively. We have considered Oklo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
73.62
73.62
After-hype Price
79.95
Upside
Oklo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oklo Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Oklo Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oklo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oklo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oklo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.63 
6.29
  3.53 
  0.40 
10 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
73.62
73.62
0.00 
112.12  
Notes

Oklo Hype Timeline

Oklo Inc is now traded for 73.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.53, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.4. Oklo is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 112.12%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oklo is about 987.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 74.02. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.52. Oklo Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oklo to cross-verify your projections.

Oklo Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Oklo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oklo's future price movements. Getting to know how Oklo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oklo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DTWDTE Energy Co 1.11 16 per month 0.65 (0.07) 0.84 (0.92) 3.31 
PPLPPL Corporation 0.23 12 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.57 (1.61) 4.62 
AEEAmeren Corp 1.12 11 per month 0.99 (0.06) 1.09 (1.45) 5.74 
FEFirstEnergy 0.76 12 per month 0.89 (0.01) 1.35 (1.30) 4.05 
ESEversource Energy(0.13)10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.75 (1.87) 14.53 
DTEDTE Energy 0.08 10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.32 (1.74) 4.73 
FTSFortis Inc 0.02 8 per month 0.58  0.03  1.35 (1.16) 2.88 
AWKAmerican Water Works 0.53 29 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.95 (2.24) 6.26 
ATOAtmos Energy 1.89 9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.38 (1.76) 4.31 
CMSCMS Energy 0.76 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.27 (1.56) 5.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Oklo

For every potential investor in Oklo, whether a beginner or expert, Oklo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oklo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oklo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oklo's price trends.

Oklo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oklo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oklo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oklo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oklo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oklo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oklo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oklo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oklo Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oklo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oklo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oklo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oklo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Oklo

The number of cover stories for Oklo depends on current market conditions and Oklo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oklo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oklo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Oklo Short Properties

Oklo's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oklo's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oklo Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oklo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oklo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding98.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments227.8 M
When determining whether Oklo Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Oklo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Oklo Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Oklo Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oklo to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Will Electric Utilities sector continue expanding? Could Oklo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oklo. Anticipated expansion of Oklo directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Oklo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.297
Earnings Share
(0.52)
Return On Assets
(0.08)
Return On Equity
(0.10)
The market value of Oklo Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oklo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oklo's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oklo's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Oklo's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oklo's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Oklo's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Oklo should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Oklo's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.