One Liberty Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| OLP Stock | USD 21.09 0.07 0.33% |
One Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although One Liberty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of One Liberty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of One Liberty fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of One Liberty's share price is at 57. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling One Liberty, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.875 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.12 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.23 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.37 | Wall Street Target Price 24.6667 |
Using One Liberty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of One Liberty Properties from the perspective of One Liberty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards One Liberty using One Liberty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards One using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of One Liberty's stock price.
One Liberty Short Interest
An investor who is long One Liberty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about One Liberty and may potentially protect profits, hedge One Liberty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 22.5168 | Short Percent 0.0137 | Short Ratio 2.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 217.4 K | 50 Day MA 20.7284 |
One Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of One Liberty Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 21.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.86.One Liberty Properties Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to One Liberty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in One. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding One can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around One Liberty Properties. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of One Liberty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about One Liberty.
One Liberty Implied Volatility | 1.33 |
One Liberty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of One Liberty Properties stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if One Liberty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that One Liberty stock will not fluctuate a lot when One Liberty's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of One Liberty Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 21.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.86. One Liberty after-hype prediction price | USD 21.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of One Liberty to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current One contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that One Liberty Properties will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0831% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With One Liberty trading at USD 21.09, that is roughly USD 0.0175 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating One Liberty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring One Liberty Properties options at the current volatility level of 1.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 One Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast One Liberty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in One Liberty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for One Liberty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current One Liberty's open interest, investors have to compare it to One Liberty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of One Liberty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in One. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
One Liberty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine One price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for One using various technical indicators. When you analyze One charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
One Liberty Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the One Liberty's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1995-12-31 | Previous Quarter 19 M | Current Value 18.8 M | Quarterly Volatility 9.7 M |
One Liberty Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of One Liberty Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 21.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict One Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that One Liberty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
One Liberty Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest One Liberty | One Liberty Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
One Liberty Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting One Liberty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. One Liberty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.90 and 22.34, respectively. We have considered One Liberty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of One Liberty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent One Liberty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.3682 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2109 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0103 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.8631 |
Predictive Modules for One Liberty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as One Liberty Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.One Liberty After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of One Liberty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in One Liberty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of One Liberty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
One Liberty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting One Liberty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on One Liberty's historical news coverage. One Liberty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.87 and 22.31, respectively. We have considered One Liberty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
One Liberty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of One Liberty Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.
One Liberty Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as One Liberty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading One Liberty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with One Liberty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.22 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.09 | 21.09 | 0.00 |
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One Liberty Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January One Liberty Properties is traded for 21.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. One is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on One Liberty is about 3050.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.10. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.49. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. One Liberty Properties last dividend was issued on the 22nd of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of One Liberty to cross-verify your projections.One Liberty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to One Liberty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict One Liberty's future price movements. Getting to know how One Liberty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how One Liberty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PKST | Peakstone Realty Trust | (0.09) | 9 per month | 1.60 | 0.05 | 2.95 | (2.35) | 12.25 | |
| NREF | Nexpoint Real Estate | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.33 | 0.07 | 2.44 | (2.47) | 8.26 | |
| NLOP | Net Lease Office | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.62 | (1.87) | 7.34 | |
| FPI | Farmland Partners | (0.07) | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.06 | 2.03 | (1.87) | 5.49 | |
| CMTG | Claros Mortgage Trust | (0.09) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.01 | (5.50) | 17.41 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.75 | 0.21 | 2.36 | (1.78) | 8.01 | |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | 0.13 | 10 per month | 1.65 | (0.03) | 2.31 | (1.98) | 7.41 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | 0.17 | 9 per month | 1.58 | (0) | 3.16 | (2.97) | 7.04 | |
| PSTL | Postal Realty Trust | 0.23 | 8 per month | 0.62 | 0.17 | 2.27 | (1.22) | 5.03 | |
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.30 | (2.62) | 6.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for One Liberty
For every potential investor in One, whether a beginner or expert, One Liberty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. One Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in One. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying One Liberty's price trends.One Liberty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with One Liberty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of One Liberty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing One Liberty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
One Liberty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how One Liberty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading One Liberty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying One Liberty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify One Liberty Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
One Liberty Risk Indicators
The analysis of One Liberty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in One Liberty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting one stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8926 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.01) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for One Liberty
The number of cover stories for One Liberty depends on current market conditions and One Liberty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that One Liberty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about One Liberty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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One Liberty Short Properties
One Liberty's future price predictability will typically decrease when One Liberty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of One Liberty Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential One Liberty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. One Liberty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 42.3 M |
Additional Tools for One Stock Analysis
When running One Liberty's price analysis, check to measure One Liberty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Liberty is operating at the current time. Most of One Liberty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Liberty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Liberty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Liberty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.