Farmland Partners Stock Price Prediction
| FPI Stock | USD 12.55 0.20 1.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
73
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.11 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.04 | Wall Street Target Price 12.1667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.04) |
Using Farmland Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Farmland Partners from the perspective of Farmland Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Farmland Partners to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Farmland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Farmland Partners after-hype prediction price | USD 12.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Farmland |
Farmland Partners After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Farmland Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Farmland Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Farmland Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Farmland Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Farmland Partners' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Farmland Partners' historical news coverage. Farmland Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.09 and 14.09, respectively. We have considered Farmland Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Farmland Partners is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Farmland Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Farmland Partners Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Farmland Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Farmland Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Farmland Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.50 | 0.04 | 0.11 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.55 | 12.59 | 0.32 |
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Farmland Partners Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Farmland Partners is traded for 12.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Farmland is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.59 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Farmland Partners is about 504.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.44. The company reported the last year's revenue of 57.47 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 30.76 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 47.11 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Farmland Partners Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Farmland Partners Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Farmland Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Farmland Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how Farmland Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Farmland Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BNL | Broadstone Net Lease | (0.40) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.59 | (1.71) | 5.03 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.63 | (1.74) | 11.25 | |
| BRSP | Brightspire Capital | 0.01 | 6 per month | 1.44 | 0.04 | 3.10 | (2.74) | 22.56 | |
| SAFE | Safehold | (0.84) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.70 | (3.71) | 10.10 | |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Realty | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.94 | (0) | 1.67 | (1.77) | 4.84 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | 0.22 | 9 per month | 2.18 | 0.01 | 2.27 | (1.39) | 19.07 | |
| GOOD | Gladstone Commercial | (0.45) | 10 per month | 0.60 | 0.12 | 1.94 | (1.58) | 8.00 | |
| WPC | W P Carey | (1.12) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.73 | (1.57) | 4.41 |
Farmland Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Farmland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Farmland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Farmland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Farmland Partners Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Farmland Partners stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Farmland Partners, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Farmland Partners based on analysis of Farmland Partners hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Farmland Partners's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Farmland Partners's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0396 | 0.0231 | 0.0247 | 0.0235 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.0 | 10.37 | 10.91 | 10.65 |
Story Coverage note for Farmland Partners
The number of cover stories for Farmland Partners depends on current market conditions and Farmland Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Farmland Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Farmland Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Farmland Partners Short Properties
Farmland Partners' future price predictability will typically decrease when Farmland Partners' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Farmland Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Farmland Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Farmland Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 M |
Complementary Tools for Farmland Stock analysis
When running Farmland Partners' price analysis, check to measure Farmland Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Farmland Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Farmland Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Farmland Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Farmland Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Farmland Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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