Omnicell Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OMCL Stock | USD 50.30 1.02 1.99% |
Omnicell Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Omnicell's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Omnicell's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Omnicell fundamentals over time.
The RSI of Omnicell's stock price is about 68. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Omnicell, making its price go up or down. Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4838 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7163 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8913 | Wall Street Target Price 55 |
Using Omnicell hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Omnicell from the perspective of Omnicell response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Omnicell using Omnicell's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Omnicell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Omnicell's stock price.
Omnicell Short Interest
An investor who is long Omnicell may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Omnicell and may potentially protect profits, hedge Omnicell with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 33.6881 | Short Percent 0.0868 | Short Ratio 4.16 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 43.3886 |
Omnicell Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Omnicell on the next trading day is expected to be 50.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.01.Omnicell Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Omnicell's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Omnicell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Omnicell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Omnicell. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Omnicell's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Omnicell.
Omnicell Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
Omnicell's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Omnicell stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Omnicell's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Omnicell stock will not fluctuate a lot when Omnicell's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Omnicell on the next trading day is expected to be 50.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.01. Omnicell after-hype prediction price | USD 50.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Omnicell to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Omnicell contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Omnicell will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Omnicell trading at USD 50.3, that is roughly USD 0.0198 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Omnicell's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Omnicell options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Omnicell Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Omnicell's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Omnicell's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Omnicell stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Omnicell's open interest, investors have to compare it to Omnicell's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Omnicell is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Omnicell. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Omnicell Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Omnicell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Omnicell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Omnicell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Omnicell Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Omnicell on the next trading day is expected to be 50.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 1.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Omnicell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Omnicell's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Omnicell Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Omnicell | Omnicell Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Omnicell Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Omnicell's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Omnicell's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.45 and 53.15, respectively. We have considered Omnicell's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Omnicell stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Omnicell stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4958 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3455 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7668 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.01 |
Predictive Modules for Omnicell
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omnicell. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Omnicell's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Omnicell After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Omnicell at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Omnicell or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Omnicell, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Omnicell Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Omnicell's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Omnicell's historical news coverage. Omnicell's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.80 and 53.50, respectively. We have considered Omnicell's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Omnicell is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Omnicell is based on 3 months time horizon.
Omnicell Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Omnicell is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Omnicell backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Omnicell, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.89 | 2.85 | 0.35 | 0.08 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.30 | 50.65 | 0.70 |
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Omnicell Hype Timeline
Omnicell is now traded for 50.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Omnicell is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 50.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.89%. The volatility of related hype on Omnicell is about 3313.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.22. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.11 B. Net Income was 12.53 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 516.04 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Omnicell to cross-verify your projections.Omnicell Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Omnicell's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Omnicell's future price movements. Getting to know how Omnicell's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Omnicell may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PGNY | Progyny | (0.03) | 9 per month | 2.80 | 0.09 | 5.30 | (4.61) | 35.40 | |
| SDGR | Schrodinger | 1.35 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.89 | (4.69) | 14.49 | |
| OMDA | Omada Health Common | 0.98 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.61 | (7.13) | 18.33 | |
| TDOC | Teladoc | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.17 | (5.44) | 17.21 | |
| TXG | 10X Genomics | (0.80) | 8 per month | 2.58 | 0.18 | 10.23 | (5.27) | 23.84 | |
| PHR | Phreesia | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.72 | (4.03) | 28.56 | |
| UFPT | UFP Technologies | (2.30) | 9 per month | 2.32 | 0.13 | 4.83 | (4.31) | 17.63 | |
| ASTH | Astrana Health | (0.19) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.14 | (7.16) | 29.14 | |
| SSII | SS Innovations International | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 7.43 | (7.18) | 17.59 | |
| GDRX | Goodrx Holdings | 0.04 | 15 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 2.86 | (3.90) | 7.49 |
Other Forecasting Options for Omnicell
For every potential investor in Omnicell, whether a beginner or expert, Omnicell's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Omnicell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Omnicell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Omnicell's price trends.Omnicell Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Omnicell stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Omnicell could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Omnicell by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Omnicell Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Omnicell stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Omnicell shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Omnicell stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Omnicell entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Omnicell Risk Indicators
The analysis of Omnicell's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Omnicell's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting omnicell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9702 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.8 | |||
| Variance | 7.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9413 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Omnicell
The number of cover stories for Omnicell depends on current market conditions and Omnicell's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Omnicell is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Omnicell's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Omnicell Short Properties
Omnicell's future price predictability will typically decrease when Omnicell's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Omnicell often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Omnicell's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omnicell's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 381.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Omnicell to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Omnicell Stock please use our How to buy in Omnicell Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Health Care Technology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Omnicell. If investors know Omnicell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Omnicell listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Earnings Share 0.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Omnicell is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Omnicell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Omnicell's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Omnicell's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Omnicell's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Omnicell's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Omnicell's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Omnicell is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Omnicell's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.