OMS Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| OMSE Stock | 4.42 0.10 2.31% |
OMS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast OMS Energy stock prices and determine the direction of OMS Energy Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of OMS Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of OMS Energy's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.212 |
Using OMS Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OMS Energy Technologies from the perspective of OMS Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
OMS Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of OMS Energy Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.38.OMS Energy Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to OMS Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OMS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OMS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OMS Energy Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of OMS Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about OMS Energy.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of OMS Energy Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.38. OMS Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 4.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OMS Energy to cross-verify your projections. OMS Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OMS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OMS using various technical indicators. When you analyze OMS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OMS Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of OMS Energy Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OMS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OMS Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OMS Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OMS Energy | OMS Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
OMS Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OMS Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OMS Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.91 and 7.83, respectively. We have considered OMS Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OMS Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OMS Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.8161 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0165 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.125 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0271 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.375 |
Predictive Modules for OMS Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OMS Energy Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OMS Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
OMS Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OMS Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OMS Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OMS Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OMS Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OMS Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OMS Energy's historical news coverage. OMS Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.96 and 7.88, respectively. We have considered OMS Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OMS Energy is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OMS Energy Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
OMS Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OMS Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OMS Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OMS Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 3.46 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.42 | 4.42 | 0.00 |
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OMS Energy Hype Timeline
OMS Energy Technologies is now traded for 4.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. OMS is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on OMS Energy is about 4942.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.41. About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of OMS Energy was now reported as 2.95. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OMS Energy to cross-verify your projections.OMS Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OMS Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OMS Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how OMS Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OMS Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TOYO | TOYO Co Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.32 | 0.1 | 8.28 | (5.07) | 28.62 | |
| SMC | Summit Midstream | (0.48) | 9 per month | 1.26 | 0.15 | 3.65 | (1.94) | 15.21 | |
| RNGR | Ranger Energy Services | (0.04) | 7 per month | 1.85 | 0.1 | 3.77 | (3.79) | 9.09 | |
| PNRG | PrimeEnergy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.39 | 0.13 | 5.49 | (4.10) | 15.84 | |
| IMPP | Imperial Petroleum | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.24 | (6.94) | 33.83 | |
| VAL | Valaris | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.22 | 0.12 | 6.17 | (3.39) | 13.35 | |
| BRY | Berry Petroleum Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.37 | (3.76) | 6.58 | |
| REI | Ring Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.12 | 5.68 | (3.09) | 11.00 | |
| BOOM | Dmc Global | (0.1) | 6 per month | 4.26 | 0.04 | 6.18 | (4.12) | 18.62 | |
| INR | Infinity Natural Resources | 0.03 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.18 | 5.59 | (3.09) | 19.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for OMS Energy
For every potential investor in OMS, whether a beginner or expert, OMS Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OMS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OMS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OMS Energy's price trends.OMS Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OMS Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OMS Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OMS Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OMS Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OMS Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OMS Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OMS Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OMS Energy Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 727.86 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5263 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.44 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.1 |
OMS Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of OMS Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OMS Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oms stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.47 | |||
| Variance | 12.07 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OMS Energy
The number of cover stories for OMS Energy depends on current market conditions and OMS Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OMS Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OMS Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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OMS Energy Short Properties
OMS Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when OMS Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OMS Energy Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OMS Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OMS Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OMS Energy to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Will Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector continue expanding? Could OMS diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OMS Energy. Anticipated expansion of OMS directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every OMS Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | Earnings Share 1.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.212 |
Investors evaluate OMS Energy Technologies using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating OMS Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause OMS Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between OMS Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OMS Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, OMS Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.