Onconetix Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ONCO Stock | USD 1.51 0.06 4.14% |
Onconetix Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Onconetix's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Onconetix's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Onconetix fundamentals over time.
As of today, the RSI of Onconetix's share price is approaching 37. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Onconetix, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) |
Using Onconetix hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Onconetix from the perspective of Onconetix response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Onconetix on the next trading day is expected to be 1.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.93. Onconetix after-hype prediction price | USD 1.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Onconetix | Build AI portfolio with Onconetix Stock |
Onconetix Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Onconetix price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Onconetix using various technical indicators. When you analyze Onconetix charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Onconetix Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Onconetix's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 581.9 K | Current Value 552.8 K | Quarterly Volatility 5.6 M |
Onconetix Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Onconetix on the next trading day is expected to be 1.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Onconetix Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Onconetix's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Onconetix Stock Forecast Pattern
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Onconetix Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Onconetix's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Onconetix's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.21, respectively. We have considered Onconetix's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Onconetix stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Onconetix stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9355 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1627 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0742 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.9268 |
Predictive Modules for Onconetix
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Onconetix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Onconetix's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Onconetix After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Onconetix at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Onconetix or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Onconetix, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Onconetix Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Onconetix's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Onconetix's historical news coverage. Onconetix's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 8.19, respectively. We have considered Onconetix's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Onconetix is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Onconetix is based on 3 months time horizon.
Onconetix Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Onconetix is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Onconetix backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Onconetix, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.18 | 6.85 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.51 | 1.34 | 11.26 |
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Onconetix Hype Timeline
Onconetix is now traded for 1.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Onconetix is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -11.26%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.18%. The volatility of related hype on Onconetix is about 7061.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.40. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.73. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Onconetix recorded earning per share (EPS) of 1229.73. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:85 split on the 13th of June 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Onconetix to cross-verify your projections.Onconetix Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Onconetix's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Onconetix's future price movements. Getting to know how Onconetix's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Onconetix may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JSPR | Jasper Therapeutics | 0.00 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.73 | (9.04) | 31.75 | |
| AZTR | Azitra Inc | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 7.14 | (11.86) | 34.09 | |
| REVB | Revelation Biosciences | 0.00 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.56 | (8.70) | 34.24 | |
| SCNI | Scinai Immunotherapeutics | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 11.65 | (9.29) | 38.82 | |
| SPRC | Scisparc | (0.19) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 4.46 | (12.20) | 30.69 | |
| INDP | Indaptus Therapeutics | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 13.58 | (12.56) | 51.64 | |
| ENVB | Enveric Biosciences | (1.33) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 14.08 | (11.42) | 121.83 | |
| SLXN | Biomotion Sciences Ordinary | 0.41 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 15.09 | (8.19) | 37.24 | |
| PTIX | Protagenic Therapeutics | 0.17 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 12.73 | (15.25) | 58.73 | |
| SLRX | Salarius Pharmaceuticals | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 16.00 | (16.92) | 61.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Onconetix
For every potential investor in Onconetix, whether a beginner or expert, Onconetix's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Onconetix Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Onconetix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Onconetix's price trends.Onconetix Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Onconetix stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Onconetix could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Onconetix by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Onconetix Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Onconetix stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Onconetix shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Onconetix stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Onconetix entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Onconetix Risk Indicators
The analysis of Onconetix's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Onconetix's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting onconetix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.64 | |||
| Variance | 44.15 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Onconetix
The number of cover stories for Onconetix depends on current market conditions and Onconetix's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Onconetix is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Onconetix's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Onconetix Short Properties
Onconetix's future price predictability will typically decrease when Onconetix's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Onconetix often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Onconetix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Onconetix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.3 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 646.5 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Onconetix to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Onconetix Stock, please use our How to Invest in Onconetix guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Onconetix. If investors know Onconetix will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Onconetix listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share 1.2 K | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Onconetix is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Onconetix that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Onconetix's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Onconetix's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Onconetix's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Onconetix's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Onconetix's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Onconetix is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Onconetix's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.