OneConstruction Group Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ONEG Stock | 5.27 0.03 0.57% |
OneConstruction Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of OneConstruction Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of OneConstruction Group's stock price is roughly 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling OneConstruction, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
Using OneConstruction Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OneConstruction Group Limited from the perspective of OneConstruction Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of OneConstruction Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 5.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.27. OneConstruction Group after-hype prediction price | USD 5.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
OneConstruction | Build AI portfolio with OneConstruction Stock |
OneConstruction Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OneConstruction price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OneConstruction using various technical indicators. When you analyze OneConstruction charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OneConstruction Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of OneConstruction Group Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 5.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 1.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OneConstruction Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OneConstruction Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OneConstruction Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OneConstruction Group | OneConstruction Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
OneConstruction Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OneConstruction Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OneConstruction Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 20.34, respectively. We have considered OneConstruction Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OneConstruction Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OneConstruction Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5758 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1052 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3943 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1579 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.265 |
Predictive Modules for OneConstruction Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OneConstruction Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OneConstruction Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
OneConstruction Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OneConstruction Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OneConstruction Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OneConstruction Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OneConstruction Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OneConstruction Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OneConstruction Group's historical news coverage. OneConstruction Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.26 and 20.35, respectively. We have considered OneConstruction Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OneConstruction Group is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OneConstruction Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
OneConstruction Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OneConstruction Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OneConstruction Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OneConstruction Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 15.07 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.27 | 5.28 | 0.19 |
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OneConstruction Group Hype Timeline
OneConstruction Group is now traded for 5.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. OneConstruction is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on OneConstruction Group is about 9353.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.32. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 53.2 M. Net Income was 898 K with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.79 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneConstruction Group to cross-verify your projections.OneConstruction Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OneConstruction Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OneConstruction Group's future price movements. Getting to know how OneConstruction Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OneConstruction Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GXRFF | Prospera Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.70 | (9.67) | 38.06 | |
| FHTX | Foghorn Therapeutics | (0.04) | 9 per month | 4.28 | 0.11 | 9.16 | (5.56) | 31.12 | |
| PYXS | Pyxis Oncology | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 17.05 | (15.41) | 70.66 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 0.42 | 7 per month | 1.13 | 0.19 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| USSTX | Tax Exempt Short Term | 2.28 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.19 | (0.10) | 0.39 | |
| JDDSF | JD Sports Fashion | (2.61) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | (0.87) | 22.36 | |
| NEMTF | Nemetschek SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.70 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | 1.42 | 8 per month | 2.69 | 0.16 | 6.40 | (5.54) | 14.55 | |
| JDSPY | JD Sports Fashion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.19 | (6.25) | 15.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for OneConstruction Group
For every potential investor in OneConstruction, whether a beginner or expert, OneConstruction Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OneConstruction Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OneConstruction. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OneConstruction Group's price trends.OneConstruction Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OneConstruction Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OneConstruction Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OneConstruction Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OneConstruction Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OneConstruction Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OneConstruction Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OneConstruction Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OneConstruction Group Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
OneConstruction Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of OneConstruction Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OneConstruction Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oneconstruction stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 16.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 14.65 | |||
| Variance | 214.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 320.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 277.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OneConstruction Group
The number of cover stories for OneConstruction Group depends on current market conditions and OneConstruction Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OneConstruction Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OneConstruction Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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OneConstruction Group Short Properties
OneConstruction Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when OneConstruction Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OneConstruction Group Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OneConstruction Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OneConstruction Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 749 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneConstruction Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Can Construction & Engineering industry sustain growth momentum? Does OneConstruction have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OneConstruction Group. Anticipated expansion of OneConstruction directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating OneConstruction Group demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.23) | Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate OneConstruction Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating OneConstruction Group's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause OneConstruction Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between OneConstruction Group's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OneConstruction Group should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, OneConstruction Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.