ON24 Stock Forward View
| ONTF Stock | USD 7.89 0.04 0.51% |
ON24 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of ON24's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of ON24's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0175 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.06 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.1325 | Wall Street Target Price 8.1 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.01 |
Using ON24 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ON24 Inc from the perspective of ON24 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ON24 using ON24's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ON24 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ON24's stock price.
ON24 Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ON24's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ON24. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ON24 stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 5.7263 | Short Percent 0.0254 | Short Ratio 1.38 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 6.8832 |
ON24 Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ON24 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.38.ON24 Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ON24's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ON24. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ON24 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ON24 Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ON24's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ON24.
ON24 Implied Volatility | 1.74 |
ON24's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ON24 Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ON24's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ON24 stock will not fluctuate a lot when ON24's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ON24 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.38. ON24 after-hype prediction price | USD 7.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ON24 to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ON24 Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ON24's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ON24's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ON24 stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ON24's open interest, investors have to compare it to ON24's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ON24 is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ON24. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
ON24 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ON24 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ON24 using various technical indicators. When you analyze ON24 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ON24 Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the ON24's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-12-31 | Previous Quarter 37.7 M | Current Value 47.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 105.1 M |
ON24 Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ON24 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 7.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ON24 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ON24's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ON24 Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ON24 | ON24 Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ON24 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ON24's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ON24's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.58 and 13.16, respectively. We have considered ON24's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ON24 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ON24 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0448 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2803 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0443 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.3815 |
Predictive Modules for ON24
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ON24 Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ON24's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ON24 After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ON24 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ON24 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ON24, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ON24 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ON24's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ON24's historical news coverage. ON24's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.67 and 13.25, respectively. We have considered ON24's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ON24 is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ON24 Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
ON24 Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ON24 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ON24 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ON24, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.86 | 5.29 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.89 | 7.96 | 0.89 |
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ON24 Hype Timeline
ON24 Inc is now traded for 7.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. ON24 is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.96 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.89%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.86%. The volatility of related hype on ON24 is about 6521.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.82. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 148.08 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.98 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ON24 to cross-verify your projections.ON24 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ON24's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ON24's future price movements. Getting to know how ON24's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ON24 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVNI | Nvni Group Limited | (0.12) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 10.23 | (9.31) | 57.59 | |
| SOPA | Society Pass | (0.43) | 9 per month | 8.60 | 0.02 | 16.92 | (13.88) | 91.61 | |
| RYDE | Ryde Group | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 11.11 | (10.53) | 36.06 | |
| MYSE | Myseum | (0.03) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.04 | (8.29) | 25.91 | |
| SONM | Sonim Technologies | (0.55) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 15.25 | (13.45) | 38.14 | |
| AIXI | XIAO I American | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 9.52 | (10.71) | 45.03 | |
| SOS | SOS Limited | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.01 | (12.60) | 65.45 | |
| ELWS | Earlyworks Co Ltd | 0.36 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 11.79 | (11.41) | 87,549 | |
| IFBD | Infobird Co | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.89 | (8.08) | 31.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for ON24
For every potential investor in ON24, whether a beginner or expert, ON24's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ON24 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ON24. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ON24's price trends.ON24 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ON24 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ON24 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ON24 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ON24 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ON24 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ON24 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ON24 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ON24 Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3693.84 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.02 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
ON24 Risk Indicators
The analysis of ON24's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ON24's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting on24 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.18 | |||
| Variance | 26.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.37 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ON24
The number of cover stories for ON24 depends on current market conditions and ON24's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ON24 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ON24's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ON24 Short Properties
ON24's future price predictability will typically decrease when ON24's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ON24 Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ON24's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ON24's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 182.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ON24 to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Can Application Software industry sustain growth momentum? Does ON24 have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ON24. Anticipated expansion of ON24 directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating ON24 demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Earnings Share (0.74) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of ON24 Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ON24 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ON24's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ON24's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because ON24's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ON24's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between ON24's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding ON24 should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, ON24's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.