Option Care Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| OPCH Stock | USD 34.06 0.55 1.59% |
Option Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Option Care's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Option Care's share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Option Care, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.032 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4651 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7273 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8743 | Wall Street Target Price 39.8182 |
Using Option Care hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Option Care Health from the perspective of Option Care response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Option Care using Option Care's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Option using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Option Care's stock price.
Option Care Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Option Care's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Option. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Option Care stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 30.4479 | Short Percent 0.0825 | Short Ratio 4.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.6 M | 50 Day MA 32.6784 |
Option Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Option Care Health on the next trading day is expected to be 34.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.06.Option Care Health Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Option Care's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Option. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Option can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Option Care Health. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Option Care's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Option Care.
Option Care Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Option Care's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Option Care Health stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Option Care's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Option Care stock will not fluctuate a lot when Option Care's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Option Care Health on the next trading day is expected to be 34.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.06. Option Care after-hype prediction price | USD 34.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Option Care to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Option contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Option Care Health will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Option Care trading at USD 34.06, that is roughly USD 0.0115 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Option Care's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Option Care Health options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Option Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Option Care's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Option Care's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Option Care stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Option Care's open interest, investors have to compare it to Option Care's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Option Care is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Option. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Option Care Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Option price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Option using various technical indicators. When you analyze Option charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Option Care Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Option Care Health on the next trading day is expected to be 34.06 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Option Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Option Care's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Option Care Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Option Care | Option Care Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Option Care Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Option Care's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Option Care's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.08 and 36.04, respectively. We have considered Option Care's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Option Care stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Option Care stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7966 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1752 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5677 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0176 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.06 |
Predictive Modules for Option Care
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Option Care Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Option Care's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Option Care After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Option Care at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Option Care or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Option Care, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Option Care Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Option Care's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Option Care's historical news coverage. Option Care's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.19 and 36.15, respectively. We have considered Option Care's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Option Care is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Option Care Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Option Care Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Option Care is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Option Care backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Option Care, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 1.98 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.06 | 34.17 | 0.32 |
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Option Care Hype Timeline
Option Care Health is now traded for 34.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. Option is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 34.17 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Option Care is about 401.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.86. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5 B. Net Income was 211.82 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.07 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Option Care to cross-verify your projections.Option Care Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Option Care's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Option Care's future price movements. Getting to know how Option Care's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Option Care may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TMDX | TransMedics Group | (0.07) | 9 per month | 2.57 | 0.01 | 5.74 | (5.18) | 21.24 | |
| AKRO | Akero Therapeutics | (2.83) | 14 per month | 0.63 | 0.11 | 3.29 | (2.12) | 16.73 | |
| OSCR | Oscar Health | (0.52) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.00 | (7.46) | 30.41 | |
| LNTH | Lantheus Holdings | (0.29) | 5 per month | 1.74 | 0.09 | 4.16 | (2.53) | 10.15 | |
| HNGE | Hinge Health | 1.15 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.16 | (6.13) | 21.22 | |
| IMVT | Immunovant | (0.23) | 11 per month | 2.18 | 0.08 | 4.47 | (3.63) | 20.44 | |
| KYMR | Kymera Therapeutics | (2.83) | 9 per month | 2.60 | 0.08 | 4.40 | (4.46) | 49.42 | |
| ADMA | ADMA Biologics | (0.24) | 11 per month | 2.61 | 0.06 | 5.01 | (4.27) | 13.78 | |
| INDV | Indivior PLC Ordinary | 0.59 | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.19 | 3.52 | (2.20) | 18.53 | |
| ACAD | ACADIA Pharmaceuticals | 0.34 | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.05 | 3.35 | (2.48) | 9.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Option Care
For every potential investor in Option, whether a beginner or expert, Option Care's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Option Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Option. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Option Care's price trends.Option Care Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Option Care stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Option Care could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Option Care by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Option Care Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Option Care stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Option Care shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Option Care stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Option Care Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 67936.89 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 34.33 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 34.24 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.54) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.55) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.55 |
Option Care Risk Indicators
The analysis of Option Care's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Option Care's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting option stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Variance | 4.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.87 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Option Care
The number of cover stories for Option Care depends on current market conditions and Option Care's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Option Care is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Option Care's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Option Care Short Properties
Option Care's future price predictability will typically decrease when Option Care's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Option Care Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Option Care's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Option Care's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 172.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 412.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Option Care to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is there potential for Health Care Providers & Services market expansion? Will Option introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Option Care. Anticipated expansion of Option directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Option Care listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.032 | Earnings Share 1.26 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Option Care Health requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Option's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Option Care's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Option Care's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Option Care's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Option Care should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Option Care's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.