Opendoor Technologies Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| OPEN Stock | USD 5.07 0.00 0.00% |
Opendoor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Opendoor Technologies' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Opendoor Technologies' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Opendoor Technologies fundamentals over time.
As of today The relative strength index (RSI) of Opendoor Technologies' share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.1) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.22) | Wall Street Target Price 3.7667 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.07) |
Using Opendoor Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Opendoor Technologies from the perspective of Opendoor Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Opendoor Technologies using Opendoor Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Opendoor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Opendoor Technologies' stock price.
Opendoor Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Opendoor Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Opendoor Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Opendoor Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.4881 | Short Percent 0.1394 | Short Ratio 1.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 113.7 M | 50 Day MA 6.5874 |
Opendoor Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Opendoor Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.07.Opendoor Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Opendoor Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Opendoor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Opendoor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Opendoor Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Opendoor Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Opendoor Technologies.
Opendoor Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.41 |
Opendoor Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Opendoor Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Opendoor Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Opendoor Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Opendoor Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Opendoor Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.07. Opendoor Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 5.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Opendoor Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Opendoor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Opendoor Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0881% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Opendoor Technologies trading at USD 5.07, that is roughly USD 0.004468 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Opendoor Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Opendoor Technologies options at the current volatility level of 1.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Opendoor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Opendoor Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Opendoor Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Opendoor Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Opendoor Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Opendoor Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Opendoor Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Opendoor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Opendoor Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Opendoor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Opendoor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Opendoor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Opendoor Technologies Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Opendoor Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 4.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Opendoor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Opendoor Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Opendoor Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Opendoor Technologies | Opendoor Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Opendoor Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Opendoor Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Opendoor Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 11.30, respectively. We have considered Opendoor Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Opendoor Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Opendoor Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0596 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3571 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0511 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.0703 |
Predictive Modules for Opendoor Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Opendoor Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Opendoor Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Opendoor Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Opendoor Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Opendoor Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Opendoor Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Opendoor Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Opendoor Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Opendoor Technologies' historical news coverage. Opendoor Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.26 and 11.56, respectively. We have considered Opendoor Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Opendoor Technologies is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Opendoor Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Opendoor Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Opendoor Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Opendoor Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Opendoor Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 6.37 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.07 | 5.15 | 0.00 |
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Opendoor Technologies Hype Timeline
Opendoor Technologies is now traded for 5.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Opendoor is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Opendoor Technologies is about 4431.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.03. About 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 109.64. Opendoor Technologies recorded a loss per share of 0.41. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Opendoor Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Opendoor Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Opendoor Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Opendoor Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Opendoor Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Opendoor Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BPYPO | Brookfield Property Partners | 0.07 | 31 per month | 0.99 | (0) | 1.36 | (1.72) | 5.05 | |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.75 | (2.03) | 4.39 | |
| RHP | Ryman Hospitality Properties | (1.08) | 9 per month | 0.96 | 0.08 | 2.41 | (1.67) | 6.96 | |
| RITM | Rithm Capital Corp | (0.20) | 11 per month | 1.68 | 0 | 2.15 | (1.75) | 5.69 | |
| HHH | Howard Hughes Holdings | (0.21) | 7 per month | 1.63 | (0.02) | 2.69 | (2.21) | 17.67 | |
| FSV | FirstService Corp | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.04 | (2.31) | 6.36 | |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Realty | 0.14 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.57 | (1.71) | 4.72 | |
| TRNO | Terreno Realty | 0.28 | 10 per month | 1.29 | (0.01) | 2.22 | (2.35) | 5.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for Opendoor Technologies
For every potential investor in Opendoor, whether a beginner or expert, Opendoor Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Opendoor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Opendoor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Opendoor Technologies' price trends.Opendoor Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Opendoor Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Opendoor Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Opendoor Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Opendoor Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Opendoor Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Opendoor Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Opendoor Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Opendoor Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0964 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.33 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.24 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.54 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.26) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 40.1 |
Opendoor Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Opendoor Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Opendoor Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting opendoor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.3 | |||
| Variance | 39.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Opendoor Technologies
The number of cover stories for Opendoor Technologies depends on current market conditions and Opendoor Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Opendoor Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Opendoor Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Opendoor Technologies Short Properties
Opendoor Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Opendoor Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Opendoor Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Opendoor Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Opendoor Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 699.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 679 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Opendoor Technologies to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Opendoor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Opendoor Technologies guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Will Real Estate Management & Development sector continue expanding? Could Opendoor diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Opendoor Technologies. Anticipated expansion of Opendoor directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Opendoor Technologies data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (0.41) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.34) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Opendoor Technologies using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Opendoor Technologies' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Opendoor Technologies' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Opendoor Technologies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Opendoor Technologies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Opendoor Technologies' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.