Oppenheimer Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

OPY Stock  USD 72.64  0.35  0.48%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oppenheimer Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 69.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.26. Oppenheimer Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Oppenheimer Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Oppenheimer Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oppenheimer Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Oppenheimer Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Wall Street Target Price
37
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.151
Using Oppenheimer Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oppenheimer Holdings from the perspective of Oppenheimer Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Oppenheimer Holdings using Oppenheimer Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Oppenheimer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Oppenheimer Holdings' stock price.

Oppenheimer Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long Oppenheimer Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Oppenheimer Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Oppenheimer Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
67.428
Short Percent
0.0027
Short Ratio
0.48
Shares Short Prior Month
14.4 K
50 Day MA
69.6768

Oppenheimer Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Oppenheimer Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Oppenheimer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Oppenheimer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Oppenheimer Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Oppenheimer Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Oppenheimer Holdings.

Oppenheimer Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.17  
Oppenheimer Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oppenheimer Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oppenheimer Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oppenheimer Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oppenheimer Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oppenheimer Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 69.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.26.

Oppenheimer Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 71.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oppenheimer Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Oppenheimer Stock please use our How to Invest in Oppenheimer Holdings guide.Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 13.86 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 0.44 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 14.6 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to rise to about 86.4 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Oppenheimer Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Oppenheimer Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Oppenheimer Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Oppenheimer Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Oppenheimer Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Oppenheimer Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Oppenheimer Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Oppenheimer. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Oppenheimer Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oppenheimer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oppenheimer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oppenheimer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Oppenheimer Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1991-12-31
Previous Quarter
37.6 M
Current Value
38.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
42.2 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Oppenheimer Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Oppenheimer Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Oppenheimer Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Oppenheimer Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 69.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.81, mean absolute percentage error of 1.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oppenheimer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oppenheimer Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oppenheimer Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Oppenheimer HoldingsOppenheimer Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Oppenheimer Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oppenheimer Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oppenheimer Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 67.77 and 71.07, respectively. We have considered Oppenheimer Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
72.64
69.42
Expected Value
71.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oppenheimer Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oppenheimer Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.1597
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.8076
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors49.2611
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Oppenheimer Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Oppenheimer Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Oppenheimer Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppenheimer Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
70.1571.8173.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.1353.7979.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
63.7570.2576.74
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
33.6737.0041.07
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Oppenheimer Holdings

For every potential investor in Oppenheimer, whether a beginner or expert, Oppenheimer Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oppenheimer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oppenheimer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oppenheimer Holdings' price trends.

Oppenheimer Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oppenheimer Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oppenheimer Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oppenheimer Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oppenheimer Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oppenheimer Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oppenheimer Holdings' current price.

Oppenheimer Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oppenheimer Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oppenheimer Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oppenheimer Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oppenheimer Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oppenheimer Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oppenheimer Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oppenheimer Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oppenheimer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Oppenheimer Stock Analysis

When running Oppenheimer Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Oppenheimer Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oppenheimer Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Oppenheimer Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oppenheimer Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oppenheimer Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oppenheimer Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.