Oppenheimer Holdings Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OPY Stock | USD 84.03 0.00 0.00% |
Oppenheimer Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength indicator of Oppenheimer Holdings' stock price is slightly above 67. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Oppenheimer, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Wall Street Target Price 37 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.151 |
Using Oppenheimer Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oppenheimer Holdings from the perspective of Oppenheimer Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Oppenheimer Holdings using Oppenheimer Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Oppenheimer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Oppenheimer Holdings' stock price.
Oppenheimer Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Oppenheimer Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Oppenheimer Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Oppenheimer Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 69.1474 | Short Percent 0.005 | Short Ratio 0.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 18.7 K | 50 Day MA 72.5396 |
Oppenheimer Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Oppenheimer Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 84.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.74.Oppenheimer Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Oppenheimer Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Oppenheimer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Oppenheimer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Oppenheimer Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Oppenheimer Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Oppenheimer Holdings.
Oppenheimer Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.49 |
Oppenheimer Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oppenheimer Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oppenheimer Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oppenheimer Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oppenheimer Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Oppenheimer Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 84.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.74. Oppenheimer Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 83.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Oppenheimer | Build AI portfolio with Oppenheimer Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Oppenheimer contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Oppenheimer Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Oppenheimer Holdings trading at USD 84.03, that is roughly USD 0.0257 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Oppenheimer Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Oppenheimer Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Oppenheimer Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Oppenheimer Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Oppenheimer Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Oppenheimer Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Oppenheimer Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Oppenheimer Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Oppenheimer Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Oppenheimer. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Oppenheimer Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oppenheimer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oppenheimer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oppenheimer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Oppenheimer Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Oppenheimer Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 84.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.00, mean absolute percentage error of 2.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.74.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oppenheimer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oppenheimer Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Oppenheimer Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Oppenheimer Holdings | Oppenheimer Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Oppenheimer Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Oppenheimer Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oppenheimer Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 81.92 and 86.14, respectively. We have considered Oppenheimer Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oppenheimer Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oppenheimer Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.008 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2961 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9957 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0136 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 60.74 |
Predictive Modules for Oppenheimer Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppenheimer Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oppenheimer Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oppenheimer Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oppenheimer Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oppenheimer Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oppenheimer Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oppenheimer Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oppenheimer Holdings' historical news coverage. Oppenheimer Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.17 and 85.39, respectively. We have considered Oppenheimer Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oppenheimer Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oppenheimer Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oppenheimer Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oppenheimer Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oppenheimer Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oppenheimer Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.11 | 0.75 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
84.03 | 83.28 | 0.89 |
|
Oppenheimer Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Oppenheimer Holdings is traded for 84.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.75, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Oppenheimer is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 83.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 118.54%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.89%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Oppenheimer Holdings is about 6205.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 84.02. About 42.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.87. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Oppenheimer Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 26th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Oppenheimer Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Oppenheimer Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oppenheimer Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oppenheimer Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Oppenheimer Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oppenheimer Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GEMI | Gemini Space Station | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.34 | (10.18) | 44.06 | |
| VEL | Velocity Financial Llc | (0.32) | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.05 | 2.83 | (2.42) | 12.39 | |
| AXG | Solowin Holdings | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 10.33 | (7.56) | 25.94 | |
| MFH | Mercurity Fintech Holding | 0.52 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 17.84 | (21.67) | 46.71 | |
| AMTB | Amerant Bancorp | 0.55 | 10 per month | 1.60 | 0.14 | 4.07 | (3.67) | 10.32 | |
| AMRK | Gold Inc | 0.09 | 3 per month | 6.21 | 0.17 | 7.21 | (4.46) | 10,438 | |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank | 0.12 | 9 per month | 1.90 | (0.02) | 3.11 | (3.38) | 9.74 | |
| DEFT | DeFi Technologies | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.78 | (13.89) | 36.00 | |
| HTB | HomeTrust Bancshares | (0.87) | 8 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 2.66 | (2.38) | 9.13 | |
| NBN | Northeast Bancorp | (0.13) | 18 per month | 2.27 | 0.1 | 4.10 | (4.25) | 13.72 |
Other Forecasting Options for Oppenheimer Holdings
For every potential investor in Oppenheimer, whether a beginner or expert, Oppenheimer Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oppenheimer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oppenheimer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oppenheimer Holdings' price trends.Oppenheimer Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Oppenheimer Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Oppenheimer Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Oppenheimer Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Oppenheimer Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oppenheimer Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oppenheimer Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oppenheimer Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Oppenheimer Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.11 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 79.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 80.98 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 9.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.58 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 67.76 |
Oppenheimer Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Oppenheimer Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oppenheimer Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oppenheimer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.92 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Oppenheimer Holdings
The number of cover stories for Oppenheimer Holdings depends on current market conditions and Oppenheimer Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oppenheimer Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oppenheimer Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Oppenheimer Holdings Short Properties
Oppenheimer Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Oppenheimer Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oppenheimer Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oppenheimer Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oppenheimer Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.1 M |
Additional Tools for Oppenheimer Stock Analysis
When running Oppenheimer Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Oppenheimer Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oppenheimer Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Oppenheimer Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oppenheimer Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oppenheimer Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oppenheimer Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.