LOreal SA Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| OR Stock | EUR 394.05 0.65 0.16% |
LOreal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LOreal SA stock prices and determine the direction of LOreal SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of LOreal SA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of LOreal SA's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.7796 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.6455 | Wall Street Target Price 397.58 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 |
Using LOreal SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LOreal SA from the perspective of LOreal SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of LOreal SA on the next trading day is expected to be 394.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 240.52. LOreal SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 393.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LOreal |
LOreal SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LOreal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LOreal using various technical indicators. When you analyze LOreal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LOreal SA Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of LOreal SA on the next trading day is expected to be 394.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.08, mean absolute percentage error of 35.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 240.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LOreal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LOreal SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LOreal SA Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LOreal SA | LOreal SA Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
LOreal SA Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LOreal SA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LOreal SA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 392.69 and 395.41, respectively. We have considered LOreal SA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LOreal SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LOreal SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.0026 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.9072 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.0767 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0109 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 240.525 |
Predictive Modules for LOreal SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LOreal SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LOreal SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LOreal SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LOreal SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LOreal SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LOreal SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LOreal SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LOreal SA's historical news coverage. LOreal SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 392.51 and 395.23, respectively. We have considered LOreal SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LOreal SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LOreal SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
LOreal SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LOreal SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LOreal SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LOreal SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.36 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 1 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
394.05 | 393.87 | 0.05 |
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LOreal SA Hype Timeline
LOreal SA is now traded for 394.05on Euronext Paris of France. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. LOreal is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 393.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 129.52%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on LOreal SA is about 1172.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 394.07. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.43. LOreal SA last dividend was issued on the 5th of May 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 19th of May 2017. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LOreal SA to cross-verify your projections.LOreal SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LOreal SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LOreal SA's future price movements. Getting to know how LOreal SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LOreal SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ITP | Interparfums SA | (0.40) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.07 | (2.74) | 10.29 | |
| BB | Socit BIC SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.14 | 1.55 | (1.45) | 4.75 | |
| JBOG | Jacques Bogart SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.84 | (4.61) | 18.88 | |
| MLGAL | Galeo Concept SA | (0.34) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.77 | |
| ALMAS | Mastrad | (0.0004) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 10.20 | (10.87) | 42.44 | |
| BN | Danone SA | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.71 | (2.16) | 10.14 | |
| CA | Carrefour SA | (0.07) | 3 per month | 0.68 | 0.14 | 2.11 | (1.58) | 6.14 | |
| RI | Pernod Ricard SA | 1.08 | 2 per month | 1.65 | (0.05) | 2.78 | (3.03) | 6.38 | |
| ALAVI | AdVini SA | 0.1 | 5 per month | 0.31 | 0.15 | 1.64 | (0.81) | 4.62 | |
| RCO | Remy Cointreau | 0.84 | 8 per month | 1.75 | (0.01) | 2.92 | (2.72) | 12.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for LOreal SA
For every potential investor in LOreal, whether a beginner or expert, LOreal SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LOreal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LOreal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LOreal SA's price trends.LOreal SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LOreal SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LOreal SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LOreal SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LOreal SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LOreal SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LOreal SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LOreal SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LOreal SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
LOreal SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of LOreal SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LOreal SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting loreal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9106 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9615 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Variance | 1.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9245 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.00) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LOreal SA
The number of cover stories for LOreal SA depends on current market conditions and LOreal SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LOreal SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LOreal SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LOreal SA Short Properties
LOreal SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when LOreal SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LOreal SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LOreal SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LOreal SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 536.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 B |
Other Information on Investing in LOreal Stock
LOreal SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether LOreal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LOreal with respect to the benefits of owning LOreal SA security.