Oregon Pacific Pink Sheet Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average

ORPB Pink Sheet

USD 11.24 -0.01 -0.09%

Oregon Pacific Bancorp's 20 Period Moving Average forecast is generated from the selected price series and evaluated against observed values. Forecast accuracy depends on how stable the recent price trend has been — trending markets suit some models better than others. The 20 Period Moving Average model projects Oregon Pacific at 11.15 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. All values shown are model-generated projections and should be evaluated alongside other analytical inputs.

The 20-period moving average forecast for Oregon Pacific Bancorp replaces each daily value with the mean of that value and the 20 preceding closing prices. This is a widely used smoothing window that spans approximately one month of trading data.

20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 12th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average model forecasts Oregon Pacific at 11.15 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.01 , and sum of absolute errors of 3.27 .

This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Oregon Pacific's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Oregon Pacific

Oregon Pacific Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The projected range for Oregon Pacific reflects the model's ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios for the next trading day. The current forecast range spans downside near 10.84 and upside near 11.46. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.

Market Value

11.24

10.84

Downside

11.15

Expected Value

11.46

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 20 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Oregon Pacific pink sheet. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	76.6184
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	-0.0306
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	0.0796
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0072
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	3.2655

The broader window aggressively filters short-term noise in Oregon Pacific price data, producing a smooth trend line. This makes it useful for identifying the prevailing direction of Oregon Pacific Bancorp prices but slow to respond to reversals. The model is reliable only for very short-term projections (one to two periods).

Other Forecasting Options for Oregon Pacific

Bollinger Bands applied to Oregon Pacific Pink Sheet price data measure how far Oregon Pacific has deviated from its recent average relative to its own volatility. This distinction drives the choice of forecasting model applied to Oregon Pacific's price data.

Oregon Pacific Related Equities

Checking Oregon Pacific against related firms within the Financials space reveals where the stock stands among peers. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Oregon Pacific's peer group. When Oregon Pacific breaks from its peer group on a key metric, it often signals a firm-level change worth exploring.

Solvay Bank Corp River Valley Community National Capital Bank Oak Ridge Financial Potomac Bancshares Southeastern Banking Corp Eastern Michigan Financial Consumers Bancorp Citizens Bancshares Corp New Peoples Bankshares American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup

Risk & Return

Correlation

Oregon Pacific Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators for Oregon Pacific quantify how the pink sheet responds to shifts in volume and sentiment. These indicators capture shifts in momentum that may precede significant price moves in Oregon Pacific.

	Rate Of Daily Change	1.0
	Day Median Price	11.24
	Day Typical Price	11.24
	Price Action Indicator	-0.01
	Period Momentum Indicator	-0.01

Oregon Pacific Risk Indicators

Analyzing Oregon Pacific's risk indicators separates symmetric price swings from asymmetric downside exposure. Understanding and quantifying the risks present in Oregon Pacific helps place recent price behavior in context.

	Mean Deviation	0.1174
	Semi Deviation	0.0549
	Standard Deviation	0.3015
	Variance	0.0909
	Downside Variance	0.1344
	Semi Variance	0.003
	Expected Short fall	-0.67

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

More Resources for Oregon Pacific Pink Sheet Analysis

Financial ratios highlight how financial values interact within Oregon Pacific. The format ensures data can be compared on a consistent basis.

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average