Oregon Pacific Valuation

ORPB Stock  USD 8.00  0.19  2.43%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Oregon Pacific Bancorp holds a recent Real Value of $6.64 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $8.0. Our model determines the value of Oregon Pacific Bancorp from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Return On Equity of 0.15, operating margin of 0.34 %, and Shares Outstanding of 7.01 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
8.00
Please note that Oregon Pacific's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Oregon Pacific Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Oregon Pacific's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Oregon Pacific is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Oregon Pink Sheet. However, Oregon Pacific's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.0 Real  6.64 Hype  8.0 Naive  8.32
The real value of Oregon Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Oregon Pacific Bancorp Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Oregon Pacific's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Oregon Pacific's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
6.64
Real Value
8.80
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Oregon Pacific Bancorp helps investors to forecast how Oregon pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Oregon Pacific more accurately as focusing exclusively on Oregon Pacific's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.677.908.14
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.838.009.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.158.329.49
Details

Oregon Pacific Total Value Analysis

Oregon Pacific Bancorp is now projected to have valuation of (141.21 M) with market capitalization of 53.61 M, debt of 18.73 M, and cash on hands of 111.24 M. The negative valuation of Oregon Pacific may imply that the market is not capable to price the future growth of the company or it is pricing it at zero value. It may also suggest that takeover valuation may not have captured all of the outstanding financial obligations of the company both on and off balance sheet. Investors should vigilantly validate all of the Oregon Pacific fundamentals.
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
(141.21 M)
53.61 M
18.73 M
111.24 M

Oregon Pacific Investor Information

About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Oregon Pacific Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 28th of October 2009. The entity had 1:500 split on the 2nd of May 2008. Based on the measurements of operating efficiency obtained from Oregon Pacific's historical financial statements, Oregon Pacific Bancorp is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in March.

Oregon Pacific Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The current return on assets of Oregon suggests not a very effective usage of assets in January.

Oregon Pacific Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Oregon Pacific Bancorp is $53.61 Million. Roughly 81.6 pct. of Oregon Pacific outstanding shares are held by general public with 18.4 (%) by third-party entities. Please take into account that even companies with profitable outlook can generate negative future returns on their equity. If the true value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able generate positive returns on investment in the long run.

Oregon Pacific Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 28.2 M. Net Income was 7.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.2 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Oregon Pacific's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Oregon Pacific and how it compares across the competition.

About Oregon Pacific Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines Oregon Pacific's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Oregon Pacific. We calculate exposure to Oregon Pacific's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Oregon Pacific's related companies.
Oregon Pacific Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Oregon Pacific Banking Company that provides various banking products and services to individual and business customers in the United States. Oregon Pacific Bancorp was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Florence, Oregon. Oregon Pacific operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 122 people.

8 Steps to conduct Oregon Pacific's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Oregon Pacific's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Oregon Pacific's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Oregon Pacific's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Oregon Pacific's revenue streams: Identify Oregon Pacific's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Oregon Pacific's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Oregon Pacific's growth potential: Evaluate Oregon Pacific's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Oregon Pacific's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Oregon Pacific's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Oregon Pacific Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.247
Retained Earnings28.3 M

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When running Oregon Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Oregon Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oregon Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Oregon Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oregon Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oregon Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oregon Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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