Osaka Gas Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

OSGSF Stock  USD 32.70  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Osaka Gas Co on the next trading day is expected to be 32.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.93. Osaka Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Osaka Gas' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Osaka Gas is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Osaka Gas Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Osaka Gas Co on the next trading day is expected to be 32.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.93.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Osaka Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Osaka Gas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Osaka Gas Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Osaka Gas Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Osaka Gas' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Osaka Gas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.67 and 34.73, respectively. We have considered Osaka Gas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.70
32.70
Expected Value
34.73
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Osaka Gas pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Osaka Gas pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.799
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1492
MADMean absolute deviation0.1853
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0058
SAESum of the absolute errors10.935
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Osaka Gas Co price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Osaka Gas. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Osaka Gas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Osaka Gas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Osaka Gas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.6532.7034.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.4337.0639.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.7730.6235.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Osaka Gas

For every potential investor in Osaka, whether a beginner or expert, Osaka Gas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Osaka Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Osaka. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Osaka Gas' price trends.

Osaka Gas Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Osaka Gas pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Osaka Gas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Osaka Gas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Osaka Gas Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Osaka Gas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Osaka Gas' current price.

Osaka Gas Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Osaka Gas pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Osaka Gas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Osaka Gas pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Osaka Gas Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Osaka Gas Risk Indicators

The analysis of Osaka Gas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Osaka Gas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting osaka pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Osaka Pink Sheet

Osaka Gas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Osaka Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Osaka with respect to the benefits of owning Osaka Gas security.