OSI Systems Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

OSIS Stock  USD 247.75  2.39  0.96%   
OSI Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of OSI Systems' share price is approaching 39. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling OSI Systems, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 39

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of OSI Systems' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of OSI Systems and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from OSI Systems' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with OSI Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting OSI Systems' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.8605
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.4688
EPS Estimate Next Year
11.5108
Wall Street Target Price
300
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.5208
Using OSI Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OSI Systems from the perspective of OSI Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OSI Systems using OSI Systems' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OSI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OSI Systems' stock price.

OSI Systems Short Interest

An investor who is long OSI Systems may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about OSI Systems and may potentially protect profits, hedge OSI Systems with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
241.2073
Short Percent
0.1362
Short Ratio
7.56
Shares Short Prior Month
M
50 Day MA
268.512

OSI Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of OSI Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 271.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 584.98.

OSI Systems Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to OSI Systems' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OSI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OSI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OSI Systems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of OSI Systems' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about OSI Systems.

OSI Systems Implied Volatility

    
  0.46  
OSI Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OSI Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OSI Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OSI Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when OSI Systems' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of OSI Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 271.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 584.98.

OSI Systems after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 248.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OSI Systems to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy OSI Stock please use our How to Invest in OSI Systems guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OSI contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OSI Systems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With OSI Systems trading at USD 247.75, that is roughly USD 0.0712 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OSI Systems' daily price movement you should consider acquiring OSI Systems options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 OSI Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast OSI Systems' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in OSI Systems' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for OSI Systems stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current OSI Systems' open interest, investors have to compare it to OSI Systems' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of OSI Systems is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in OSI. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

OSI Systems Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine OSI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OSI using various technical indicators. When you analyze OSI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through OSI Systems price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

OSI Systems Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of OSI Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 271.59 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.59, mean absolute percentage error of 157.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 584.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OSI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OSI Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

OSI Systems Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest OSI Systems  OSI Systems Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

OSI Systems Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting OSI Systems' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OSI Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 268.92 and 274.26, respectively. We have considered OSI Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
247.75
268.92
Downside
271.59
Expected Value
274.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OSI Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OSI Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.1708
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.5899
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.036
SAESum of the absolute errors584.9824
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as OSI Systems historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for OSI Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OSI Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
245.49248.16250.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
222.98267.52270.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
246.12273.12300.11
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
273.00300.00333.00
Details

OSI Systems After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of OSI Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OSI Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OSI Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

OSI Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting OSI Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OSI Systems' historical news coverage. OSI Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 245.49 and 250.83, respectively. We have considered OSI Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
247.75
245.49
Downside
248.16
After-hype Price
250.83
Upside
OSI Systems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OSI Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.

OSI Systems Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OSI Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OSI Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OSI Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
2.67
  0.41 
  0.07 
12 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
247.75
248.16
0.17 
98.16  
Notes

OSI Systems Hype Timeline

OSI Systems is now traded for 247.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.41, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. OSI is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 248.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 98.16%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on OSI Systems is about 550.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 247.68. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.71 B. Net Income was 149.64 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 593.34 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OSI Systems to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy OSI Stock please use our How to Invest in OSI Systems guide.

OSI Systems Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to OSI Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OSI Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how OSI Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OSI Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ITRIItron Inc(0.43)9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.51 (4.16) 24.28 
NOVTNovanta(8.75)10 per month 4.12  0.02  6.97 (4.57) 26.00 
STSensata Technologies Holding 0.38 10 per month 2.04  0.05  4.81 (3.39) 10.52 
VICRVicor(3.36)10 per month 2.93  0.24  6.34 (6.12) 22.45 
BMIBadger Meter 2.88 8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.71 (4.32) 16.79 
BDCBelden Inc 1.49 10 per month 1.83 (0.01) 3.11 (3.32) 10.85 
PLXSPlexus Corp 2.20 8 per month 1.96  0.19  4.31 (3.99) 11.46 
VNTVontier Corp(0.96)8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.67 (2.57) 11.03 
BOXBox Inc 0.21 9 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.76 (3.64) 11.36 
ESEESCO Technologies 1.49 10 per month 1.67  0.02  2.93 (3.16) 7.84 

Other Forecasting Options for OSI Systems

For every potential investor in OSI, whether a beginner or expert, OSI Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OSI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OSI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OSI Systems' price trends.

OSI Systems Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OSI Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OSI Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OSI Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

OSI Systems Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OSI Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OSI Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OSI Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OSI Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

OSI Systems Risk Indicators

The analysis of OSI Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OSI Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting osi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for OSI Systems

The number of cover stories for OSI Systems depends on current market conditions and OSI Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OSI Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OSI Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

OSI Systems Short Properties

OSI Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when OSI Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OSI Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OSI Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OSI Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments106.4 M

Additional Tools for OSI Stock Analysis

When running OSI Systems' price analysis, check to measure OSI Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OSI Systems is operating at the current time. Most of OSI Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OSI Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OSI Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OSI Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.