OneSpan Stock Forward View
| OSPN Stock | USD 11.25 0.56 5.24% |
OneSpan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although OneSpan's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of OneSpan's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of OneSpan fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of OneSpan's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.344 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.398 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.42 | Wall Street Target Price 16.5 |
Using OneSpan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OneSpan from the perspective of OneSpan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OneSpan using OneSpan's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OneSpan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OneSpan's stock price.
OneSpan Short Interest
An investor who is long OneSpan may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about OneSpan and may potentially protect profits, hedge OneSpan with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 14.451 | Short Percent 0.0534 | Short Ratio 3.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 12.3846 |
OneSpan Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneSpan on the next trading day is expected to be 10.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.08.OneSpan Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to OneSpan's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OneSpan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OneSpan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OneSpan. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of OneSpan's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about OneSpan.
OneSpan Implied Volatility | 1.31 |
OneSpan's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OneSpan stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OneSpan's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OneSpan stock will not fluctuate a lot when OneSpan's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneSpan on the next trading day is expected to be 10.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.08. OneSpan after-hype prediction price | USD 11.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneSpan to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OneSpan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OneSpan will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0819% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With OneSpan trading at USD 11.25, that is roughly USD 0.009211 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OneSpan's daily price movement you should consider acquiring OneSpan options at the current volatility level of 1.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 OneSpan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast OneSpan's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in OneSpan's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for OneSpan stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current OneSpan's open interest, investors have to compare it to OneSpan's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of OneSpan is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in OneSpan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
OneSpan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine OneSpan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OneSpan using various technical indicators. When you analyze OneSpan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
OneSpan Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the OneSpan's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1998-06-30 | Previous Quarter 92.9 M | Current Value 85.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 38.5 M |
OneSpan Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of OneSpan on the next trading day is expected to be 10.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict OneSpan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that OneSpan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
OneSpan Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest OneSpan | OneSpan Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
OneSpan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting OneSpan's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. OneSpan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.71 and 13.13, respectively. We have considered OneSpan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of OneSpan stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent OneSpan stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4178 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.198 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.0779 |
Predictive Modules for OneSpan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OneSpan. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OneSpan After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of OneSpan at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OneSpan or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OneSpan, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
OneSpan Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting OneSpan's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OneSpan's historical news coverage. OneSpan's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.01 and 13.47, respectively. We have considered OneSpan's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
OneSpan is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OneSpan is based on 3 months time horizon.
OneSpan Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OneSpan is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OneSpan backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OneSpan, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.21 | 0.01 | 0.40 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.25 | 11.24 | 0.09 |
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OneSpan Hype Timeline
OneSpan is now traded for 11.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.4. OneSpan is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.24. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on OneSpan is about 83.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.65. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.8. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OneSpan has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 574.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneSpan to cross-verify your projections.OneSpan Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to OneSpan's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OneSpan's future price movements. Getting to know how OneSpan's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OneSpan may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CINT | CiT Inc | (0.08) | 8 per month | 2.92 | (0) | 5.51 | (5.14) | 12.99 | |
| PRTH | Priority Technology Holdings | 0.05 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.63 | (5.03) | 34.79 | |
| CCSI | Consensus Cloud Solutions | (0.21) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.55 | (5.06) | 19.47 | |
| CGNT | Cognyte Software | (0.34) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.97 | (5.91) | 16.22 | |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corp | 27.28 | 11 per month | 3.15 | 0.14 | 4.63 | (4.11) | 20.42 | |
| DAVA | Endava | (0.12) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.08 | (5.86) | 31.38 | |
| IMXI | International Money Express | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.40 | (0.33) | 1.45 | |
| BKKT | Bakkt Holdings | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 12.23 | (14.30) | 55.99 | |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc | 0.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.21 | (5.15) | 24.81 | |
| BLZE | Backblaze | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.85 | (6.25) | 33.83 |
Other Forecasting Options for OneSpan
For every potential investor in OneSpan, whether a beginner or expert, OneSpan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. OneSpan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in OneSpan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying OneSpan's price trends.OneSpan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with OneSpan stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of OneSpan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OneSpan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
OneSpan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how OneSpan stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading OneSpan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying OneSpan stock market strength indicators, traders can identify OneSpan entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
OneSpan Risk Indicators
The analysis of OneSpan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OneSpan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting onespan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.26 | |||
| Variance | 5.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for OneSpan
The number of cover stories for OneSpan depends on current market conditions and OneSpan's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that OneSpan is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about OneSpan's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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OneSpan Short Properties
OneSpan's future price predictability will typically decrease when OneSpan's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of OneSpan often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential OneSpan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OneSpan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of OneSpan to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in OneSpan Stock, please use our How to Invest in OneSpan guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Will Systems Software sector continue expanding? Could OneSpan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OneSpan. Anticipated expansion of OneSpan directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every OneSpan data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 1.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of OneSpan is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OneSpan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OneSpan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OneSpan's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because OneSpan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OneSpan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between OneSpan's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding OneSpan should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, OneSpan's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.