Ouster Common Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| OUST Stock | USD 25.29 0.79 3.22% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ouster Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 26.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.28. Ouster Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Ouster Common's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ouster Common, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.14) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.42) | Wall Street Target Price 39.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.18) |
Using Ouster Common hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ouster Common Stock from the perspective of Ouster Common response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ouster Common using Ouster Common's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ouster using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ouster Common's stock price.
Ouster Common Short Interest
An investor who is long Ouster Common may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ouster Common and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ouster Common with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 22.6371 | Short Percent 0.1019 | Short Ratio 3.75 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.7 M | 50 Day MA 23.6974 |
Ouster Common Stock Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ouster Common's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ouster. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ouster can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ouster Common Stock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Ouster Common Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Ouster Common's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ouster Common Stock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ouster Common's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ouster Common stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ouster Common's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ouster Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 26.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.28.
Ouster Common after-hype prediction price | USD 25.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ouster Common to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ouster contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ouster Common Stock will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Ouster Common trading at USD 25.29, that is roughly USD 0.0166 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ouster Common's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ouster Common Stock options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Ouster Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ouster Common's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ouster Common's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ouster Common stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ouster Common's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ouster Common's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ouster Common is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ouster. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ouster Common Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ouster price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ouster using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ouster charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Ouster Common's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-12-31 | Previous Quarter 76.1 M | Current Value 87.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 76 M |
Ouster Common Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ouster Common Stock on the next trading day is expected to be 26.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53, mean absolute percentage error of 3.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ouster Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ouster Common's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ouster Common Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ouster Common | Ouster Common Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ouster Common Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ouster Common's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ouster Common's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.34 and 31.21, respectively. We have considered Ouster Common's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ouster Common stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ouster Common stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2917 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5291 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0618 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 93.2781 |
Predictive Modules for Ouster Common
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ouster Common Stock. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ouster Common's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ouster Common After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ouster Common at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ouster Common or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ouster Common, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ouster Common Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ouster Common's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ouster Common's historical news coverage. Ouster Common's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.37 and 30.21, respectively. We have considered Ouster Common's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ouster Common is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ouster Common Stock is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ouster Common Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ouster Common is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ouster Common backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ouster Common, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 4.93 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 15 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.29 | 25.29 | 0.00 |
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Ouster Common Hype Timeline
Ouster Common Stock is now traded for 25.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.12. Ouster is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.51%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ouster Common is about 2083.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.41. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.63. Ouster Common Stock had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 21st of April 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 15 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ouster Common to cross-verify your projections.Ouster Common Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ouster Common's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ouster Common's future price movements. Getting to know how Ouster Common's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ouster Common may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BELFB | Bel Fuse B | 0.02 | 3 per month | 2.59 | 0.15 | 4.48 | (4.41) | 13.39 | |
| ROG | Rogers | 2.03 | 8 per month | 1.72 | 0.07 | 4.08 | (2.69) | 11.01 | |
| IE | Ivanhoe Electric | 0.22 | 11 per month | 4.06 | 0.08 | 7.61 | (6.25) | 20.69 | |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | 0.02 | 3 per month | 1.59 | 0.11 | 3.59 | (3.06) | 13.12 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | (0.19) | 11 per month | 1.77 | (0.04) | 2.94 | (3.16) | 9.49 | |
| DV | DoubleVerify Holdings | 0.22 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.14 | (3.40) | 17.80 | |
| PGY | Pagaya Technologies | (0.45) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.51 | (6.84) | 22.52 | |
| PRGS | Progress Software | 0.04 | 32 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.20 | (3.74) | 10.11 | |
| JAMF | Jamf Holding | 0.22 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 1.93 | (0.08) | 15.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ouster Common
For every potential investor in Ouster, whether a beginner or expert, Ouster Common's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ouster Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ouster. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ouster Common's price trends.Ouster Common Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ouster Common stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ouster Common could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ouster Common by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ouster Common Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ouster Common stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ouster Common shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ouster Common stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ouster Common Stock entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ouster Common Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ouster Common's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ouster Common's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ouster stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.26 | |||
| Variance | 27.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ouster Common
The number of cover stories for Ouster Common depends on current market conditions and Ouster Common's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ouster Common is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ouster Common's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ouster Common Short Properties
Ouster Common's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ouster Common's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ouster Common Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ouster Common's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ouster Common's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 172 M |
Additional Tools for Ouster Stock Analysis
When running Ouster Common's price analysis, check to measure Ouster Common's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ouster Common is operating at the current time. Most of Ouster Common's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ouster Common's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ouster Common's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ouster Common to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.