Outback Goldfields Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| OZ Stock | 0.38 0.01 2.70% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Outback Goldfields Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.90. Outback Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Outback Goldfields' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Outback Goldfields hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Outback Goldfields Corp from the perspective of Outback Goldfields response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Outback Goldfields Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.90. Outback Goldfields after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Outback |
Outback Goldfields Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Outback price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Outback using various technical indicators. When you analyze Outback charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Outback Goldfields Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Outback Goldfields Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Outback Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Outback Goldfields' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Outback Goldfields Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Outback Goldfields | Outback Goldfields Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Outback Goldfields Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Outback Goldfields' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Outback Goldfields' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.34, respectively. We have considered Outback Goldfields' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Outback Goldfields stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Outback Goldfields stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.5664 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0023 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.015 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0436 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.9 |
Predictive Modules for Outback Goldfields
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Outback Goldfields Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Outback Goldfields
For every potential investor in Outback, whether a beginner or expert, Outback Goldfields' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Outback Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Outback. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Outback Goldfields' price trends.Outback Goldfields Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Outback Goldfields stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Outback Goldfields could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Outback Goldfields by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Outback Goldfields Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Outback Goldfields' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Outback Goldfields' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Outback Goldfields Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Outback Goldfields stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Outback Goldfields shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Outback Goldfields stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Outback Goldfields Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Outback Goldfields Risk Indicators
The analysis of Outback Goldfields' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Outback Goldfields' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting outback stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.8 | |||
| Variance | 33.58 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Outback Stock Analysis
When running Outback Goldfields' price analysis, check to measure Outback Goldfields' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Outback Goldfields is operating at the current time. Most of Outback Goldfields' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Outback Goldfields' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Outback Goldfields' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Outback Goldfields to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.