Proact IT Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

PACT Stock  SEK 130.00  0.80  0.62%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Proact IT Group on the next trading day is expected to be 129.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.45. Proact Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Proact IT Group is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Proact IT 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Proact IT Group on the next trading day is expected to be 129.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.15, mean absolute percentage error of 6.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 122.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Proact Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Proact IT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Proact IT Stock Forecast Pattern

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Proact IT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Proact IT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Proact IT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 127.81 and 130.89, respectively. We have considered Proact IT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
130.00
127.81
Downside
129.35
Expected Value
130.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Proact IT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Proact IT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6734
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.964
MADMean absolute deviation2.1482
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.015
SAESum of the absolute errors122.45
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Proact IT. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Proact IT Group and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Proact IT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Proact IT Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
128.46130.00131.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
117.00136.00137.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
128.98129.73130.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Proact IT

For every potential investor in Proact, whether a beginner or expert, Proact IT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Proact Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Proact. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Proact IT's price trends.

Proact IT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Proact IT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Proact IT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Proact IT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Proact IT Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Proact IT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Proact IT's current price.

Proact IT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Proact IT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Proact IT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Proact IT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Proact IT Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Proact IT Risk Indicators

The analysis of Proact IT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Proact IT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting proact stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Proact Stock Analysis

When running Proact IT's price analysis, check to measure Proact IT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Proact IT is operating at the current time. Most of Proact IT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Proact IT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Proact IT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Proact IT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.