Penske Automotive Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| PAG Stock | USD 160.31 0.95 0.60% |
Penske Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Penske Automotive's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, the value of RSI of Penske Automotive's share price is approaching 46 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Penske Automotive, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.3969 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.5464 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.666 | Wall Street Target Price 180.3333 |
Using Penske Automotive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penske Automotive Group from the perspective of Penske Automotive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Penske Automotive using Penske Automotive's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Penske using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Penske Automotive's stock price.
Penske Automotive Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Penske Automotive's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Penske. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Penske Automotive stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 168.024 | Short Percent 0.12 | Short Ratio 8.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 163.0564 |
Penske Relative Strength Index
Penske Automotive Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Penske Automotive's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Penske. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Penske can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Penske Automotive Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Penske Automotive's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Penske Automotive.
Penske Automotive Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Penske Automotive's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Penske Automotive Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Penske Automotive's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Penske Automotive stock will not fluctuate a lot when Penske Automotive's options are near their expiration.
Penske Automotive after-hype prediction price | USD 160.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penske Automotive to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Penske contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Penske Automotive Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Penske Automotive trading at USD 160.31, that is roughly USD 0.0451 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Penske Automotive's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Penske Automotive Group options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Penske Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Penske Automotive's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Penske Automotive's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Penske Automotive stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Penske Automotive's open interest, investors have to compare it to Penske Automotive's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Penske Automotive is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Penske. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Penske Automotive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Penske price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penske using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penske charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 4160.42 | 0.0059 |
| Check Penske Automotive Volatility | Backtest Penske Automotive | Information Ratio |
Penske Automotive Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 Penske Automotive Group was traded for 160.31 at the closing time. Highest Penske Automotive's price during the trading hours was 160.31 and the lowest price during the day was 159.36 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 27th of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.59% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Penske Automotive to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Penske Automotive
For every potential investor in Penske, whether a beginner or expert, Penske Automotive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Penske Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Penske. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Penske Automotive's price trends.Penske Automotive Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Penske Automotive stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Penske Automotive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penske Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Penske Automotive Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Penske Automotive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Penske Automotive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Penske Automotive stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Penske Automotive Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Penske Automotive Risk Indicators
The analysis of Penske Automotive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Penske Automotive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting penske stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9666 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Variance | 1.7 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Penske Automotive
The number of cover stories for Penske Automotive depends on current market conditions and Penske Automotive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Penske Automotive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Penske Automotive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Penske Automotive Short Properties
Penske Automotive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Penske Automotive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Penske Automotive Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Penske Automotive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penske Automotive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penske Automotive to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penske Automotive. If investors know Penske will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penske Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 5.18 | Earnings Share 14.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of Penske Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penske that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penske Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penske Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penske Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penske Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penske Automotive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Penske Automotive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penske Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.