Penske Automotive Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PAG Stock | USD 160.79 2.63 1.66% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Penske Automotive Group on the next trading day is expected to be 160.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.88. Penske Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Penske Automotive's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Penske Automotive's share price is above 70 as of 6th of January 2026 indicating that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Penske, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.3969 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.6787 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.644 | Wall Street Target Price 180.8889 |
Using Penske Automotive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Penske Automotive Group from the perspective of Penske Automotive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Penske Automotive using Penske Automotive's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Penske using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Penske Automotive's stock price.
Penske Automotive Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Penske Automotive's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Penske. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Penske Automotive stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 166.863 | Short Percent 0.1124 | Short Ratio 8.72 | Shares Short Prior Month 2 M | 50 Day MA 162.4124 |
Penske Automotive Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Penske Automotive's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Penske. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Penske can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Penske Automotive Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Penske Automotive's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Penske Automotive.
Penske Automotive Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Penske Automotive's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Penske Automotive Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Penske Automotive's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Penske Automotive stock will not fluctuate a lot when Penske Automotive's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Penske Automotive Group on the next trading day is expected to be 160.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.88. Penske Automotive after-hype prediction price | USD 160.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penske Automotive to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Penske Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Penske Automotive's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Penske Automotive's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Penske Automotive stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Penske Automotive's open interest, investors have to compare it to Penske Automotive's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Penske Automotive is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Penske. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Penske Automotive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Penske price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Penske using various technical indicators. When you analyze Penske charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Penske Automotive Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Penske Automotive Group on the next trading day is expected to be 160.79 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73, mean absolute percentage error of 5.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 103.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Penske Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Penske Automotive's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Penske Automotive Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Penske Automotive | Penske Automotive Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Penske Automotive Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Penske Automotive's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Penske Automotive's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 159.46 and 162.12, respectively. We have considered Penske Automotive's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Penske Automotive stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Penske Automotive stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9083 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1399 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7313 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0106 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 103.875 |
Predictive Modules for Penske Automotive
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Penske Automotive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Penske Automotive
For every potential investor in Penske, whether a beginner or expert, Penske Automotive's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Penske Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Penske. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Penske Automotive's price trends.Penske Automotive Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Penske Automotive stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Penske Automotive could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penske Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Penske Automotive Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Penske Automotive's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Penske Automotive's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Penske Automotive Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Penske Automotive stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Penske Automotive shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Penske Automotive stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Penske Automotive Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Penske Automotive Risk Indicators
The analysis of Penske Automotive's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Penske Automotive's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting penske stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9774 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Variance | 1.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Penske Automotive is a strong investment it is important to analyze Penske Automotive's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Penske Automotive's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Penske Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Penske Automotive to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Penske Automotive. If investors know Penske will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Penske Automotive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 5.18 | Earnings Share 14.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.014 |
The market value of Penske Automotive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Penske that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Penske Automotive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Penske Automotive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Penske Automotive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Penske Automotive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penske Automotive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Penske Automotive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penske Automotive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.