PAMT P Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| PAMT Stock | 10.85 0.23 2.08% |
PAMT Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of relative strength index of PAMT P's share price is approaching 47 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PAMT P, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.20) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.27) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.35) | Wall Street Target Price 13 |
Using PAMT P hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PAMT P from the perspective of PAMT P response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PAMT P on the next trading day is expected to be 10.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.30. PAMT P after-hype prediction price | USD 10.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PAMT P to cross-verify your projections. PAMT P Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PAMT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PAMT using various technical indicators. When you analyze PAMT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PAMT P Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PAMT P on the next trading day is expected to be 10.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PAMT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PAMT P's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PAMT P Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PAMT P | PAMT P Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PAMT P Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PAMT P's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PAMT P's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.19 and 14.51, respectively. We have considered PAMT P's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PAMT P stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PAMT P stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8544 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0174 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3611 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0334 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.305 |
Predictive Modules for PAMT P
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PAMT P. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PAMT P After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PAMT P at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PAMT P or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PAMT P, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PAMT P Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PAMT P's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PAMT P's historical news coverage. PAMT P's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.16 and 14.48, respectively. We have considered PAMT P's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PAMT P is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PAMT P is based on 3 months time horizon.
PAMT P Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PAMT P is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PAMT P backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PAMT P, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 3.66 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 15 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 15 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.85 | 10.82 | 0.28 |
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PAMT P Hype Timeline
PAMT P is at this time traded for 10.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. PAMT is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 10.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on PAMT P is about 40666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.85. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PAMT P has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.26. The entity recorded a loss per share of 2.54. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2012. PAMT P had 2:1 split on the 30th of March 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 15 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PAMT P to cross-verify your projections.PAMT P Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PAMT P's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PAMT P's future price movements. Getting to know how PAMT P's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PAMT P may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHMD | SCHMID Group NV | 0.17 | 9 per month | 6.53 | 0.19 | 16.73 | (10.85) | 40.89 | |
| NVX | Novonix Ltd ADR | 0.03 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.92 | (10.26) | 33.61 | |
| SMHI | SEACOR Marine Holdings | 0.06 | 7 per month | 3.05 | 0.03 | 6.94 | (4.92) | 17.74 | |
| SPCE | Virgin Galactic Holdings | (0.03) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.00 | (7.11) | 27.80 | |
| SKYX | SKYX Platforms Corp | (0.02) | 13 per month | 4.17 | 0.12 | 11.71 | (6.80) | 32.00 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.05 | 10 per month | 3.56 | 0.03 | 6.44 | (4.75) | 15.40 | |
| POWW | Ammo Inc | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.91 | 0.0002 | 5.59 | (4.71) | 14.96 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | (0.05) | 5 per month | 2.70 | 0.06 | 5.11 | (3.93) | 15.18 | |
| PAL | Proficient Auto Logistics | (0.19) | 10 per month | 2.87 | 0.14 | 6.89 | (5.17) | 38.71 | |
| DSX | Diana Shipping | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.96 | 0.16 | 6.51 | (3.41) | 13.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for PAMT P
For every potential investor in PAMT, whether a beginner or expert, PAMT P's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PAMT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PAMT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PAMT P's price trends.PAMT P Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PAMT P stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PAMT P could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PAMT P by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PAMT P Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PAMT P stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PAMT P shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PAMT P stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PAMT P entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PAMT P Risk Indicators
The analysis of PAMT P's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PAMT P's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pamt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.75 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Variance | 13.0 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 11.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.08) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PAMT P
The number of cover stories for PAMT P depends on current market conditions and PAMT P's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PAMT P is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PAMT P's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PAMT P Short Properties
PAMT P's future price predictability will typically decrease when PAMT P's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PAMT P often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PAMT P's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PAMT P's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 110.7 M |
Additional Tools for PAMT Stock Analysis
When running PAMT P's price analysis, check to measure PAMT P's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PAMT P is operating at the current time. Most of PAMT P's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PAMT P's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PAMT P's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PAMT P to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.