Pangaea Logistic Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

PANL Stock  USD 6.82  0.03  0.44%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pangaea Logistic on the next trading day is expected to be 6.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.49. Pangaea Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Pangaea Logistic's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Pangaea Logistic's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Pangaea Logistic fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of relative strength index of Pangaea Logistic's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pangaea Logistic's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pangaea Logistic and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pangaea Logistic's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pangaea Logistic, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Pangaea Logistic's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.727
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.06
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.3
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.74
Wall Street Target Price
8.75
Using Pangaea Logistic hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pangaea Logistic from the perspective of Pangaea Logistic response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Pangaea Logistic using Pangaea Logistic's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Pangaea using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Pangaea Logistic's stock price.

Pangaea Logistic Short Interest

An investor who is long Pangaea Logistic may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Pangaea Logistic and may potentially protect profits, hedge Pangaea Logistic with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.2595
Short Percent
0.013
Short Ratio
1.36
Shares Short Prior Month
440.1 K
50 Day MA
6.5662

Pangaea Logistic Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Pangaea Logistic's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Pangaea. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Pangaea can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Pangaea Logistic. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Pangaea Logistic's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Pangaea Logistic.

Pangaea Logistic Implied Volatility

    
  1.27  
Pangaea Logistic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Pangaea Logistic stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Pangaea Logistic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Pangaea Logistic stock will not fluctuate a lot when Pangaea Logistic's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pangaea Logistic on the next trading day is expected to be 6.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.49.

Pangaea Logistic after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pangaea Logistic to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Pangaea Stock please use our How to buy in Pangaea Stock guide.At this time, Pangaea Logistic's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 14.00 this year, although the value of Payables Turnover will most likely fall to 8.30. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 253.6 M this year, although the value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding will most likely fall to about 38.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Pangaea Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Pangaea Logistic's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Pangaea Logistic's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Pangaea Logistic stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Pangaea Logistic's open interest, investors have to compare it to Pangaea Logistic's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Pangaea Logistic is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Pangaea. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Pangaea Logistic Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pangaea price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pangaea using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pangaea charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Pangaea Logistic Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Pangaea Logistic's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2011-09-30
Previous Quarter
59.3 M
Current Value
94 M
Quarterly Volatility
37.1 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Pangaea Logistic is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Pangaea Logistic value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Pangaea Logistic Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Pangaea Logistic on the next trading day is expected to be 6.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pangaea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pangaea Logistic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pangaea Logistic Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pangaea LogisticPangaea Logistic Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pangaea Logistic Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pangaea Logistic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pangaea Logistic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.75 and 9.97, respectively. We have considered Pangaea Logistic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.82
6.86
Expected Value
9.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pangaea Logistic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pangaea Logistic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8298
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1391
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0238
SAESum of the absolute errors8.4865
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Pangaea Logistic. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Pangaea Logistic. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Pangaea Logistic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pangaea Logistic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.846.9510.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.088.1911.30
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.968.759.71
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pangaea Logistic

For every potential investor in Pangaea, whether a beginner or expert, Pangaea Logistic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pangaea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pangaea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pangaea Logistic's price trends.

Pangaea Logistic Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pangaea Logistic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pangaea Logistic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pangaea Logistic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pangaea Logistic Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pangaea Logistic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pangaea Logistic's current price.

Pangaea Logistic Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pangaea Logistic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pangaea Logistic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pangaea Logistic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pangaea Logistic entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pangaea Logistic Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pangaea Logistic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pangaea Logistic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pangaea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Pangaea Logistic is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pangaea Logistic's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pangaea Logistic's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pangaea Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pangaea Logistic to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Pangaea Stock please use our How to buy in Pangaea Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Marine Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pangaea Logistic. If investors know Pangaea will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pangaea Logistic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.727
Dividend Share
0.3
Revenue Per Share
10.027
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.102
Return On Assets
0.0283
The market value of Pangaea Logistic is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pangaea that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pangaea Logistic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pangaea Logistic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pangaea Logistic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pangaea Logistic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pangaea Logistic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pangaea Logistic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pangaea Logistic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.