Petróleo Brasileiro Preferred Stock Forward View

PBR-A Preferred Stock  USD 14.45  0.36  2.56%   
Petróleo Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Petróleo Brasileiro stock prices and determine the direction of Petrleo Brasileiro SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Petróleo Brasileiro's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Petróleo Brasileiro's share price is below 20 indicating that the preferred stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Petróleo Brasileiro's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Petrleo Brasileiro SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Petróleo Brasileiro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Petrleo Brasileiro SA from the perspective of Petróleo Brasileiro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petrleo Brasileiro SA on the next trading day is expected to be 13.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.87.

Petróleo Brasileiro after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Petróleo Brasileiro to cross-verify your projections.

Petróleo Brasileiro Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Petróleo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Petróleo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Petróleo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Petróleo Brasileiro is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Petrleo Brasileiro SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Petróleo Brasileiro Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Petrleo Brasileiro SA on the next trading day is expected to be 13.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Petróleo Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Petróleo Brasileiro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Petróleo Brasileiro Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Petróleo Brasileiro  Petróleo Brasileiro Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Petróleo Brasileiro Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Petróleo Brasileiro's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Petróleo Brasileiro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.01 and 15.68, respectively. We have considered Petróleo Brasileiro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
14.45
13.84
Expected Value
15.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Petróleo Brasileiro preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Petróleo Brasileiro preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.9393
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1753
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0142
SAESum of the absolute errors10.8701
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Petrleo Brasileiro SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Petróleo Brasileiro. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Petróleo Brasileiro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Petróleo Brasileiro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.6114.4516.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.2712.1115.90
Details

Petróleo Brasileiro After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Petróleo Brasileiro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Petróleo Brasileiro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Petróleo Brasileiro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Petróleo Brasileiro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Petróleo Brasileiro's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Petróleo Brasileiro's historical news coverage. Petróleo Brasileiro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.61 and 16.29, respectively. We have considered Petróleo Brasileiro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.45
14.45
After-hype Price
16.29
Upside
Petróleo Brasileiro is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Petróleo Brasileiro is based on 3 months time horizon.

Petróleo Brasileiro Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Petróleo Brasileiro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Petróleo Brasileiro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Petróleo Brasileiro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
1.84
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.45
14.45
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Petróleo Brasileiro Hype Timeline

Petróleo Brasileiro is at this time traded for 14.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Petróleo is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Petróleo Brasileiro is about 3407.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.43. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.02. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Petróleo Brasileiro has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of August 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 8th of May 2008. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Petróleo Brasileiro to cross-verify your projections.

Petróleo Brasileiro Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Petróleo Brasileiro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Petróleo Brasileiro's future price movements. Getting to know how Petróleo Brasileiro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Petróleo Brasileiro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EQNREquinor ASA ADR 0.14 7 per month 1.47  0.09  3.34 (3.35) 7.91 
EPDEnterprise Products Partners 0.63 7 per month 0.43  0.17  1.65 (1.33) 5.11 
CNQCanadian Natural Resources 1.32 9 per month 1.70  0.15  3.14 (1.99) 9.23 
WMBWilliams Companies(0.05)8 per month 1.08  0.14  2.72 (1.80) 6.42 
EEni SpA ADR(0.31)6 per month 1.12  0.13  2.04 (2.26) 6.47 
BPBP PLC ADR(0.03)9 per month 1.78  0.06  2.76 (3.37) 8.04 
KMIKinder Morgan 0.33 8 per month 1.03  0.15  2.24 (1.71) 6.33 
EOGEOG Resources(2.08)6 per month 1.46  0.03  2.61 (2.34) 6.52 
SUSuncor Energy(0.25)9 per month 0.68  0.30  2.77 (1.62) 7.59 
ETEnergy Transfer LP(0.24)9 per month 0.61  0.09  2.20 (1.36) 4.31 

Other Forecasting Options for Petróleo Brasileiro

For every potential investor in Petróleo, whether a beginner or expert, Petróleo Brasileiro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Petróleo Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Petróleo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Petróleo Brasileiro's price trends.

Petróleo Brasileiro Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Petróleo Brasileiro preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Petróleo Brasileiro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Petróleo Brasileiro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Petróleo Brasileiro Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Petróleo Brasileiro preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Petróleo Brasileiro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Petróleo Brasileiro preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Petrleo Brasileiro SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Petróleo Brasileiro Risk Indicators

The analysis of Petróleo Brasileiro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Petróleo Brasileiro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting petróleo preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Petróleo Brasileiro

The number of cover stories for Petróleo Brasileiro depends on current market conditions and Petróleo Brasileiro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Petróleo Brasileiro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Petróleo Brasileiro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Petróleo Brasileiro Short Properties

Petróleo Brasileiro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Petróleo Brasileiro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Petrleo Brasileiro SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Petróleo Brasileiro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Petróleo Brasileiro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments7.5 B

Other Information on Investing in Petróleo Preferred Stock

Petróleo Brasileiro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Petróleo Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Petróleo with respect to the benefits of owning Petróleo Brasileiro security.