PGE Corp Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| PCG Stock | USD 15.10 0.07 0.46% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PGE Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.85. PGE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PGE Corp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of PGE Corp's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.378 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4467 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.5001 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.6293 | Wall Street Target Price 21.2667 |
Using PGE Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PGE Corp from the perspective of PGE Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PGE Corp using PGE Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PGE using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PGE Corp's stock price.
PGE Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PGE Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PGE. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PGE Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.5837 | Short Percent 0.02 | Short Ratio 1.99 | Shares Short Prior Month 35.7 M | 50 Day MA 15.7804 |
PGE Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PGE Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PGE. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PGE can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PGE Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
PGE Corp Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
PGE Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PGE Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PGE Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PGE Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when PGE Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of PGE Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.85.
PGE Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 15.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PGE Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PGE contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PGE Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With PGE Corp trading at USD 15.1, that is roughly USD 0.003964 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PGE Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PGE Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 PGE Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PGE Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PGE Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PGE Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PGE Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to PGE Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PGE Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PGE. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PGE Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PGE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PGE using various technical indicators. When you analyze PGE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PGE Corp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of PGE Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 15.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PGE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PGE Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PGE Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PGE Corp | PGE Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PGE Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PGE Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PGE Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.07 and 16.75, respectively. We have considered PGE Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PGE Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PGE Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3537 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3418 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0218 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.8504 |
Predictive Modules for PGE Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PGE Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PGE Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PGE Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PGE Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PGE Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PGE Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PGE Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PGE Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PGE Corp's historical news coverage. PGE Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.76 and 16.44, respectively. We have considered PGE Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PGE Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PGE Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
PGE Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PGE Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PGE Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PGE Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 18 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 18 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.10 | 15.10 | 0.00 |
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PGE Corp Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January PGE Corp is traded for 15.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. PGE is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on PGE Corp is about 887.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.08. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.1. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PGE Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.76. The entity last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of July 1983. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 18 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PGE Corp to cross-verify your projections.PGE Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PGE Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PGE Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how PGE Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PGE Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ED | Consolidated Edison | (0.04) | 9 per month | 1.07 | (0.03) | 1.58 | (1.66) | 4.62 | |
| WEC | WEC Energy Group | (1.48) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.05 | (1.27) | 4.32 | |
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise | (1.63) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.32 | (2.04) | 5.52 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | (0.04) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.32 | (1.74) | 4.73 | |
| AEE | Ameren Corp | 0.81 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.09 | (1.45) | 5.74 | |
| FE | FirstEnergy | 0.19 | 9 per month | 0.97 | (0.07) | 1.27 | (1.34) | 4.05 | |
| ETR | Entergy | (0.04) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.55 | (2.15) | 4.90 | |
| FTS | Fortis Inc | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.60 | (0.06) | 1.26 | (1.00) | 2.88 | |
| PPL | PPL Corporation | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.57 | (1.61) | 4.62 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.76 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.27 | (1.56) | 5.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for PGE Corp
For every potential investor in PGE, whether a beginner or expert, PGE Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PGE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PGE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PGE Corp's price trends.PGE Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PGE Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PGE Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PGE Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PGE Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PGE Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PGE Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PGE Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PGE Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PGE Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of PGE Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PGE Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.76 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PGE Corp
The number of cover stories for PGE Corp depends on current market conditions and PGE Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PGE Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PGE Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PGE Corp Short Properties
PGE Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when PGE Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PGE Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PGE Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PGE Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 940 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PGE Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in PGE Stock please use our How to Invest in PGE Corp guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Electric Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PGE Corp. If investors know PGE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PGE Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.378 | Dividend Share 0.1 | Earnings Share 1.19 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.052 |
The market value of PGE Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PGE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PGE Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PGE Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PGE Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PGE Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PGE Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PGE Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PGE Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.