Perma Fix Stock Forward View
| PESI Stock | USD 15.45 0.30 1.90% |
Perma Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Perma Fix's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Perma Fix's share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Perma Fix, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.52) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.33 | Wall Street Target Price 20 |
Using Perma Fix hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perma Fix Environmental Svcs from the perspective of Perma Fix response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Perma Fix using Perma Fix's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Perma using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Perma Fix's stock price.
Perma Fix Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Perma Fix's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Perma. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Perma Fix stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 11.5974 | Short Percent 0.0804 | Short Ratio 14.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 13.6364 |
Perma Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Perma Fix Environmental Svcs on the next trading day is expected to be 15.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.10.Perma Fix Environmental Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Perma Fix's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Perma. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Perma can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Perma Fix Environmental Svcs. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Perma Fix's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Perma Fix.
Perma Fix Implied Volatility | 1.18 |
Perma Fix's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Perma Fix Environmental Svcs stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Perma Fix's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Perma Fix stock will not fluctuate a lot when Perma Fix's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Perma Fix Environmental Svcs on the next trading day is expected to be 15.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.10. Perma Fix after-hype prediction price | USD 15.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perma Fix to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Perma contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Perma Fix Environmental Svcs will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0738% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Perma Fix trading at USD 15.45, that is roughly USD 0.0114 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Perma Fix's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Perma Fix Environmental Svcs options at the current volatility level of 1.18%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Perma Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Perma Fix's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Perma Fix's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Perma Fix stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Perma Fix's open interest, investors have to compare it to Perma Fix's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Perma Fix is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Perma. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Perma Fix Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Perma Fix Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Perma Fix's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1991-12-31 | Previous Quarter 22.6 M | Current Value 16.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 4.7 M |
Perma Fix Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Perma Fix Environmental Svcs on the next trading day is expected to be 15.24 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perma Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perma Fix's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Perma Fix Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Perma Fix | Perma Fix Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Perma Fix Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Perma Fix's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perma Fix's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.31 and 19.16, respectively. We have considered Perma Fix's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perma Fix stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perma Fix stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.2986 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5661 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0421 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.0994 |
Predictive Modules for Perma Fix
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perma Fix Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Perma Fix's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Perma Fix After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perma Fix at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perma Fix or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perma Fix, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perma Fix Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perma Fix's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perma Fix's historical news coverage. Perma Fix's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.53 and 19.37, respectively. We have considered Perma Fix's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perma Fix is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perma Fix Environmental is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perma Fix Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perma Fix is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perma Fix backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perma Fix, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.93 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.45 | 15.45 | 0.00 |
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Perma Fix Hype Timeline
Perma Fix Environmental is at this time traded for 15.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Perma is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Perma Fix is about 21833.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.46. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.64. Perma Fix Environmental had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:5 split on the 15th of October 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perma Fix to cross-verify your projections.Perma Fix Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perma Fix's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perma Fix's future price movements. Getting to know how Perma Fix's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perma Fix may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YDDL | One and One | (0.14) | 9 per month | 4.16 | 0.12 | 13.60 | (7.44) | 44.66 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.05 | 10 per month | 3.33 | 0.05 | 6.44 | (4.73) | 15.40 | |
| RAIL | Freightcar America | (0.33) | 12 per month | 2.69 | 0.13 | 6.18 | (4.48) | 24.50 | |
| ESGL | ESGL Holdings Limited | 0.05 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.33 | (2.11) | 6.10 | |
| ISSC | Innovative Solutions and | 0.03 | 8 per month | 2.72 | 0.22 | 9.75 | (4.29) | 38.98 | |
| GENC | Gencor Industries | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.85 | 0.02 | 4.78 | (3.80) | 10.79 | |
| PAMT | PAMT P | 0.63 | 5 per month | 3.16 | 0.08 | 7.34 | (6.15) | 17.24 | |
| BLNK | Blink Charging Co | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 10.45 | (8.33) | 30.46 | |
| CRGO | Freightos Limited Ordinary | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.47 | (7.69) | 34.36 | |
| SRFM | Surf Air Mobility | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 10.58 | (7.98) | 33.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Perma Fix
For every potential investor in Perma, whether a beginner or expert, Perma Fix's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perma Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perma Fix's price trends.Perma Fix Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perma Fix stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perma Fix could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perma Fix by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Perma Fix Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perma Fix stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perma Fix shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perma Fix stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Perma Fix Environmental Svcs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12897.86 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.29) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.30) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.32 |
Perma Fix Risk Indicators
The analysis of Perma Fix's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perma Fix's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting perma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.88 | |||
| Variance | 15.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Perma Fix
The number of cover stories for Perma Fix depends on current market conditions and Perma Fix's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perma Fix is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perma Fix's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Perma Fix Short Properties
Perma Fix's future price predictability will typically decrease when Perma Fix's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Perma Fix Environmental Svcs often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Perma Fix's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perma Fix's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perma Fix to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is there potential for Environmental & Facilities Services market expansion? Will Perma introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perma Fix. Anticipated expansion of Perma directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Perma Fix listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share (0.64) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.038 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Perma Fix Environmental using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Perma Fix's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Perma Fix's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Perma Fix's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Perma Fix should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Perma Fix's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.