IShares Preferred Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| PFF Etf | USD 31.94 0.09 0.28% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares Preferred and on the next trading day is expected to be 31.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.88. IShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IShares Preferred's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of IShares Preferred's etf price is roughly 63 indicating that the etf is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling IShares, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using IShares Preferred hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iShares Preferred and from the perspective of IShares Preferred response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares Preferred and on the next trading day is expected to be 31.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.88. IShares Preferred after-hype prediction price | USD 31.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Preferred to cross-verify your projections. IShares Preferred Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze IShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
IShares Preferred Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iShares Preferred and on the next trading day is expected to be 31.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IShares Preferred's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
IShares Preferred Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest IShares Preferred | IShares Preferred Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
IShares Preferred Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting IShares Preferred's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IShares Preferred's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.55 and 32.33, respectively. We have considered IShares Preferred's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IShares Preferred etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IShares Preferred etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.0495 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.012 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.098 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0032 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.88 |
Predictive Modules for IShares Preferred
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Preferred. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.IShares Preferred After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IShares Preferred at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IShares Preferred or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of IShares Preferred, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IShares Preferred Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IShares Preferred's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IShares Preferred's historical news coverage. IShares Preferred's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.55 and 32.33, respectively. We have considered IShares Preferred's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IShares Preferred is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iShares Preferred is based on 3 months time horizon.
IShares Preferred Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as IShares Preferred is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IShares Preferred backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IShares Preferred, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
31.94 | 31.94 | 0.00 |
|
IShares Preferred Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January iShares Preferred is traded for 31.94. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. IShares is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on IShares Preferred is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.94. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Preferred to cross-verify your projections.IShares Preferred Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IShares Preferred's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IShares Preferred's future price movements. Getting to know how IShares Preferred's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IShares Preferred may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IWN | iShares Russell 2000 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.06 | 1.94 | (1.35) | 4.27 | |
| EMXC | iShares MSCI Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.10 | 1.34 | (1.36) | 3.23 | |
| IQLT | iShares MSCI Intl | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | (0.02) | 1.08 | (1.07) | 2.76 | |
| IWO | iShares Russell 2000 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.01 | 1.91 | (2.14) | 5.52 | |
| SCZ | iShares MSCI EAFE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.55 | (0.0009) | 1.18 | (1.11) | 2.91 | |
| SOXX | iShares Semiconductor ETF | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.09 | 3.20 | (3.70) | 9.17 | |
| HDV | iShares Core High | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | (0) | 1.38 | (0.82) | 2.75 | |
| ITA | iShares Aerospace Defense | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | 0.03 | 2.44 | (2.15) | 5.82 | |
| TIP | iShares TIPS Bond | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.62) | 0.27 | (0.30) | 0.79 | |
| VIHAX | Vanguard International High | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.26 | 0.1 | 1.06 | (0.80) | 2.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for IShares Preferred
For every potential investor in IShares, whether a beginner or expert, IShares Preferred's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IShares Preferred's price trends.IShares Preferred Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IShares Preferred etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IShares Preferred could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IShares Preferred by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
IShares Preferred Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IShares Preferred etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IShares Preferred shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IShares Preferred etf market strength indicators, traders can identify iShares Preferred and entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
IShares Preferred Risk Indicators
The analysis of IShares Preferred's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IShares Preferred's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ishares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3099 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3162 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3897 | |||
| Variance | 0.1518 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1685 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for IShares Preferred
The number of cover stories for IShares Preferred depends on current market conditions and IShares Preferred's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that IShares Preferred is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about IShares Preferred's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IShares Preferred to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
The market value of iShares Preferred is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IShares Preferred's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IShares Preferred's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IShares Preferred's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IShares Preferred's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares Preferred's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares Preferred is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IShares Preferred's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.