Prudential Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| PFH Stock | USD 17.85 0.03 0.17% |
Prudential Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Prudential Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength momentum indicator of Prudential Financial's share price is at 55 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Prudential Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Prudential Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Prudential Financial 4125 from the perspective of Prudential Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Prudential Financial 4125 on the next trading day is expected to be 17.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.65. Prudential Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 17.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prudential Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Prudential price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Prudential using various technical indicators. When you analyze Prudential charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Prudential Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Prudential Financial 4125 on the next trading day is expected to be 17.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Prudential Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Prudential Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Prudential Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Prudential Financial | Prudential Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Prudential Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Prudential Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Prudential Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.34 and 18.36, respectively. We have considered Prudential Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Prudential Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Prudential Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.0101 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -3.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0787 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0045 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.645 |
Predictive Modules for Prudential Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prudential Financial 4125. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Prudential Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Prudential Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Prudential Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Prudential Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Prudential Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Prudential Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Prudential Financial's historical news coverage. Prudential Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.34 and 18.36, respectively. We have considered Prudential Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Prudential Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Prudential Financial 4125 is based on 3 months time horizon.
Prudential Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Prudential Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Prudential Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Prudential Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 11 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.85 | 17.85 | 0.00 |
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Prudential Financial Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Prudential Financial 4125 is traded for 17.85. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.06. Prudential is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Prudential Financial is about 8.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.91. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of March 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prudential Financial to cross-verify your projections.Prudential Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Prudential Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Prudential Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Prudential Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Prudential Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GAB | Gabelli Equity Trust | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.65 | (0.01) | 1.48 | (1.13) | 3.62 | |
| PRRAX | Real Estate Securities | 34.87 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 1.15 | (1.30) | 3.16 | |
| DBLSX | Doubleline Low Duration | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.44) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 0.31 | |
| DLSNX | Doubleline Low Duration | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 0.10 | (0.10) | 0.21 | |
| OAKBX | Oakmark Equity And | 0.13 | 1 per month | 0.45 | (0.02) | 1.05 | (0.65) | 2.70 | |
| TLQIX | Tiaa Cref Lifecycle Index | 0.14 | 1 per month | 0.24 | 0.05 | 0.65 | (0.59) | 4.36 | |
| SEMVX | Hartford Schroders Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | 0.13 | 1.48 | (1.20) | 3.55 | |
| HHHSX | Hartford Schroders Emerging | 15.53 | 7 per month | 0.62 | 0.12 | 1.48 | (1.16) | 3.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Prudential Financial
For every potential investor in Prudential, whether a beginner or expert, Prudential Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Prudential Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Prudential. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Prudential Financial's price trends.Prudential Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Prudential Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Prudential Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Prudential Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Prudential Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Prudential Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Prudential Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Prudential Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Prudential Financial 4125 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Prudential Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Prudential Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Prudential Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting prudential stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3852 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5277 | |||
| Variance | 0.2784 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Prudential Financial
The number of cover stories for Prudential Financial depends on current market conditions and Prudential Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Prudential Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Prudential Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Prudential Financial Short Properties
Prudential Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Prudential Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Prudential Financial 4125 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Prudential Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Prudential Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 359.3 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66.4 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Prudential Financial to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Prudential Stock please use our How to Invest in Prudential Financial guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is there potential for Diversified Metals & Mining market expansion? Will Prudential introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Prudential Financial. Anticipated expansion of Prudential directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Prudential Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Investors evaluate Prudential Financial 4125 using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Prudential Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Prudential Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Prudential Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Prudential Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Prudential Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.