Pennfed Financial OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PFSB Stock | 15.89 0.16 1.02% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Pennfed Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Pennfed Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pennfed Financial Services from the perspective of Pennfed Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pennfed Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 15.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.64. Pennfed Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 15.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pennfed |
Pennfed Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pennfed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pennfed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pennfed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Pennfed Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Pennfed Financial Services on the next trading day is expected to be 15.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.64.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pennfed OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pennfed Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Pennfed Financial OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
Pennfed Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Pennfed Financial's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pennfed Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.88 and 16.90, respectively. We have considered Pennfed Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pennfed Financial otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pennfed Financial otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.6746 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0722 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0941 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0064 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.645 |
Predictive Modules for Pennfed Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pennfed Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pennfed Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pennfed Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of Pennfed Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pennfed Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Pennfed Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pennfed Financial OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Pennfed Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pennfed Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pennfed Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.89 | 15.89 | 0.00 |
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Pennfed Financial Hype Timeline
Pennfed Financial is at this time traded for 15.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pennfed is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pennfed Financial is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.89. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.Pennfed Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pennfed Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pennfed Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Pennfed Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pennfed Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRFC | First Robinson Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.17 | 3.15 | (0.64) | 9.68 | |
| WVFC | WVS Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | (0.03) | 2.69 | (2.39) | 10.36 | |
| CNAF | Commercial National Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.89 | (2.29) | 5.73 | |
| CBHC | CBC Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.97 | |
| LKSB | Lakeside Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.42 | (4.00) | 28.20 | |
| APLO | Apollo Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 1.79 | (0.92) | 14.55 | |
| VWFB | VWF Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | (0.01) | 1.98 | (1.85) | 6.50 | |
| SSBP | SSB Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 3.39 | (0.88) | 13.35 | |
| QNTO | Quaint Oak Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.07 | 2.97 | (3.30) | 12.43 | |
| FBPI | First Bancorp of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.28 | 0.07 | 1.41 | (1.07) | 5.19 |
Other Forecasting Options for Pennfed Financial
For every potential investor in Pennfed, whether a beginner or expert, Pennfed Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pennfed OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pennfed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pennfed Financial's price trends.Pennfed Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pennfed Financial otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pennfed Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pennfed Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Pennfed Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pennfed Financial otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pennfed Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pennfed Financial otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pennfed Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Pennfed Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Pennfed Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pennfed Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pennfed otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5646 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9836 | |||
| Variance | 0.9676 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.4055 | |||
| Semi Variance | (0.26) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Pennfed Financial
The number of cover stories for Pennfed Financial depends on current market conditions and Pennfed Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pennfed Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pennfed Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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