Perma-Fix Environmental Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| PFX1 Stock | EUR 12.20 0.30 2.40% |
Perma-Fix Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Perma-Fix Environmental's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Perma-Fix Environmental's share price is at 53 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Perma-Fix Environmental, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Perma-Fix Environmental hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Perma Fix Environmental Services from the perspective of Perma-Fix Environmental response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Perma Fix Environmental Services on the next trading day is expected to be 12.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.80. Perma-Fix Environmental after-hype prediction price | EUR 12.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Perma-Fix |
Perma-Fix Environmental Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Perma-Fix price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Perma-Fix using various technical indicators. When you analyze Perma-Fix charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Perma-Fix Environmental Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Perma Fix Environmental Services on the next trading day is expected to be 12.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Perma-Fix Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Perma-Fix Environmental's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Perma-Fix Environmental Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Perma-Fix Environmental | Perma-Fix Environmental Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Perma-Fix Environmental Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Perma-Fix Environmental's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Perma-Fix Environmental's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.02 and 16.38, respectively. We have considered Perma-Fix Environmental's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Perma-Fix Environmental stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Perma-Fix Environmental stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0119 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3356 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0295 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.8 |
Predictive Modules for Perma-Fix Environmental
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perma Fix Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perma-Fix Environmental After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Perma-Fix Environmental at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Perma-Fix Environmental or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Perma-Fix Environmental, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Perma-Fix Environmental Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Perma-Fix Environmental's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Perma-Fix Environmental's historical news coverage. Perma-Fix Environmental's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.02 and 16.38, respectively. We have considered Perma-Fix Environmental's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Perma-Fix Environmental is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Perma Fix Environmental is based on 3 months time horizon.
Perma-Fix Environmental Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Perma-Fix Environmental is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Perma-Fix Environmental backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Perma-Fix Environmental, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 4.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.20 | 12.20 | 0.00 |
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Perma-Fix Environmental Hype Timeline
Perma Fix Environmental is at this time traded for 12.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Perma-Fix is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Perma-Fix Environmental is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.20. About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.15. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Perma Fix Environmental recorded a loss per share of 0.3. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:5 split on the 15th of October 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Perma-Fix Environmental to cross-verify your projections.Perma-Fix Environmental Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Perma-Fix Environmental's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Perma-Fix Environmental's future price movements. Getting to know how Perma-Fix Environmental's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Perma-Fix Environmental may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HAM | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.66 | 0.06 | 7.22 | (7.36) | 17.24 | |
| B2X | Brandywine Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.24 | (3.70) | 10.82 | |
| P4Q | Perseus Mining Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.19 | 4.45 | (3.40) | 8.60 | |
| BED | Marie Brizard Wine | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.79 | (2.11) | 5.27 | |
| T7W | Treasury Wine Estates | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.92 | (3.63) | 14.41 | |
| ATD | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | 0.27 | 5.41 | (1.95) | 10.59 | |
| SH7 | HELIOS TECHS INC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.62 | 0.14 | 4.19 | (2.89) | 9.49 | |
| ESY | Easy Software AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.03 | (4.76) | 17.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Perma-Fix Environmental
For every potential investor in Perma-Fix, whether a beginner or expert, Perma-Fix Environmental's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Perma-Fix Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Perma-Fix. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Perma-Fix Environmental's price trends.Perma-Fix Environmental Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Perma-Fix Environmental stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Perma-Fix Environmental could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Perma-Fix Environmental by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Perma-Fix Environmental Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Perma-Fix Environmental stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Perma-Fix Environmental shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Perma-Fix Environmental stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Perma Fix Environmental Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Perma-Fix Environmental Risk Indicators
The analysis of Perma-Fix Environmental's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Perma-Fix Environmental's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting perma-fix stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.07 | |||
| Variance | 16.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Perma-Fix Environmental
The number of cover stories for Perma-Fix Environmental depends on current market conditions and Perma-Fix Environmental's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Perma-Fix Environmental is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Perma-Fix Environmental's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Perma-Fix Stock
Perma-Fix Environmental financial ratios help investors to determine whether Perma-Fix Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Perma-Fix with respect to the benefits of owning Perma-Fix Environmental security.