PhenixFIN 525 Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| PFXNZ Stock | USD 23.87 0.08 0.33% |
PhenixFIN Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of PhenixFIN 525's share price is at 50 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PhenixFIN 525, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using PhenixFIN 525 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PhenixFIN 525 from the perspective of PhenixFIN 525 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of PhenixFIN 525 on the next trading day is expected to be 23.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.61. PhenixFIN 525 after-hype prediction price | USD 23.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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PhenixFIN 525 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PhenixFIN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PhenixFIN using various technical indicators. When you analyze PhenixFIN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PhenixFIN 525 Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of PhenixFIN 525 on the next trading day is expected to be 23.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PhenixFIN Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PhenixFIN 525's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PhenixFIN 525 Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PhenixFIN 525 | PhenixFIN 525 Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
PhenixFIN 525 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PhenixFIN 525's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PhenixFIN 525's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.54 and 24.15, respectively. We have considered PhenixFIN 525's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PhenixFIN 525 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PhenixFIN 525 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8802 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0582 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0025 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.6074 |
Predictive Modules for PhenixFIN 525
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PhenixFIN 525. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.PhenixFIN 525 After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PhenixFIN 525 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PhenixFIN 525 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PhenixFIN 525, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PhenixFIN 525 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PhenixFIN 525's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PhenixFIN 525's historical news coverage. PhenixFIN 525's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.57 and 24.17, respectively. We have considered PhenixFIN 525's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PhenixFIN 525 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PhenixFIN 525 is based on 3 months time horizon.
PhenixFIN 525 Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PhenixFIN 525 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PhenixFIN 525 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PhenixFIN 525, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.87 | 23.87 | 0.00 |
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PhenixFIN 525 Hype Timeline
PhenixFIN 525 is at this time traded for 23.87. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PhenixFIN is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on PhenixFIN 525 is about 9.223372036854776E16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.87. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of November 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PhenixFIN 525 to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy PhenixFIN Stock please use our How to Invest in PhenixFIN 525 guide.PhenixFIN 525 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PhenixFIN 525's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PhenixFIN 525's future price movements. Getting to know how PhenixFIN 525's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PhenixFIN 525 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OFS | OFS Capital Corp | 0.18 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.51 | (4.62) | 17.27 | |
| GECC | Great Elm Capital | 0.17 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.77 | (4.13) | 8.13 | |
| GECCI | Great Elm Capital | 0.10 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 0.40 | (0.40) | 0.92 | |
| OPPJ | WisdomTree Japan Opportunities | (0.17) | 3 per month | 0.75 | 0.23 | 2.38 | (1.81) | 6.90 | |
| FOFO | Hang Feng Technology | (0.49) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 7.76 | (9.72) | 41.06 | |
| XYF | X Financial Class | 0.12 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 4.05 | (6.68) | 16.58 | |
| TRPA | HARTFORD AAA CLO | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 0.26 | (0.15) | 0.49 | |
| PDCC | Pearl Diver Credit | 0.05 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 1.12 | (2.79) | 6.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for PhenixFIN 525
For every potential investor in PhenixFIN, whether a beginner or expert, PhenixFIN 525's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PhenixFIN Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PhenixFIN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PhenixFIN 525's price trends.PhenixFIN 525 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PhenixFIN 525 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PhenixFIN 525 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PhenixFIN 525 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PhenixFIN 525 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PhenixFIN 525 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PhenixFIN 525 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PhenixFIN 525 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PhenixFIN 525 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.87 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.87 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.67 |
PhenixFIN 525 Risk Indicators
The analysis of PhenixFIN 525's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PhenixFIN 525's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting phenixfin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2263 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.104 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3038 | |||
| Variance | 0.0923 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1281 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0108 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for PhenixFIN 525
The number of cover stories for PhenixFIN 525 depends on current market conditions and PhenixFIN 525's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PhenixFIN 525 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PhenixFIN 525's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for PhenixFIN Stock Analysis
When running PhenixFIN 525's price analysis, check to measure PhenixFIN 525's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PhenixFIN 525 is operating at the current time. Most of PhenixFIN 525's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PhenixFIN 525's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PhenixFIN 525's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PhenixFIN 525 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.