X Financial Class Stock Price Prediction
| XYF Stock | USD 6.30 0.05 0.80% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.104 | Wall Street Target Price 1.7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.125 |
Using X Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of X Financial Class from the perspective of X Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in X Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying XYF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
X Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 6.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
XYF |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of X Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
X Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of X Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in X Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of X Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
X Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting X Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on X Financial's historical news coverage. X Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.15 and 11.07, respectively. We have considered X Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
X Financial is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of X Financial Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
X Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as X Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading X Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with X Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 4.46 | 0.31 | 0.03 | 5 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.30 | 6.61 | 4.92 |
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X Financial Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November X Financial Class is traded for 6.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. XYF is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 4.92%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.63%. The volatility of related hype on X Financial is about 9426.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.27. X Financial Class has about 584.76 M in cash with 814.14 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days. Check out X Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.X Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to X Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict X Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how X Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how X Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LMFA | LM Funding America | (0.50) | 11 per month | 5.61 | 0.01 | 10.51 | (9.22) | 32.33 | |
| DXF | Dunxin Financial Holdings | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 12.50 | (18.75) | 50.18 | |
| SUNL | Sunlight Financial Holdings | (0.01) | 1 per month | 5.05 | 0.09 | 11.43 | (8.70) | 57.39 | |
| NISN | Nisun International Enterprise | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 16.13 | (11.91) | 43.97 | |
| QD | Qudian Inc | (0.04) | 1 per month | 2.77 | 0.09 | 6.54 | (4.21) | 15.86 | |
| FINV | FinVolution Group | (0.18) | 6 per month | 2.45 | 0.02 | 3.81 | (4.74) | 13.22 | |
| AIHS | Senmiao Technology | (0.01) | 3 per month | 3.82 | (0.02) | 8.70 | (6.74) | 31.40 | |
| LX | Lexinfintech Holdings | (0.01) | 6 per month | 4.44 | 0.17 | 13.89 | (7.67) | 44.77 | |
| QFIN | 360 Finance | (0.12) | 10 per month | 2.36 | 0.13 | 6.30 | (4.25) | 13.28 | |
| LU | Lufax Holding | 0.04 | 8 per month | 3.85 | (0.0004) | 9.57 | (6.52) | 33.37 | |
| YRD | Yirendai | 0.05 | 6 per month | 5.27 | 0.02 | 8.75 | (6.80) | 46.34 | |
| PT | Pintec Technology Holdings | 0.01 | 8 per month | 3.26 | (0.02) | 6.32 | (5.26) | 24.51 | |
| LC | LendingClub Corp | 0.24 | 12 per month | 1.98 | 0.14 | 5.23 | (3.31) | 15.07 |
X Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine XYF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for XYF using various technical indicators. When you analyze XYF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About X Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of X Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as X Financial Class, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of X Financial based on analysis of X Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to X Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to X Financial's related companies. | 2020 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.2 | Dividend Yield | 0.0464 | 0.0533 | 0.0562 |
Story Coverage note for X Financial
The number of cover stories for X Financial depends on current market conditions and X Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that X Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about X Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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X Financial Short Properties
X Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when X Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of X Financial Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential X Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. X Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Complementary Tools for XYF Stock analysis
When running X Financial's price analysis, check to measure X Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy X Financial is operating at the current time. Most of X Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of X Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move X Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of X Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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